$DASH #DASH - LAST HOPE - Break downtrend now, or BYE
Hello Lads and Ladies,
Today we are going to take a look at DASHBTC. Currently the 13th biggest crypto by Market Cap. It has been in a humungous downtrend and the question is when will it finally leave this downtrend and where can we expect DASHBTC heading to?!
Starting off with the huge downtrend line (indicated light blue in the chart), which originates at the 20th of December last year. DASHBTC never really left this downtrend now for almost 6 months, it has tried to do so and failed multiple times with that, what can be pretty depressing. Nevertheless, it seems to be coming to and end of this tremendous downtrend and gives quite a bit of room to play with.
It is important to mention that DASHBTC was holding itself above 0.06 BTC for quite a long time and has confirmed this line multiple times again as a historic support and resistance line (indicated red in the chart). I chose the red color, because it has been broken and acts now as a strong resistance and a potential decision point after a big push.
The next support we are taking a look at is located at 0.043 BTC (indicated orange in the chart), this line has been historically a intermediate support and support resistance line, where the chart makes a small stop, when making big moves. Although, it has been a pretty strong support in the timeframe of 30.03 - 16.04, this was a phase where nothing special happened to DASHBTC and it got ready for a pump, which was heading towards the downtrend line, actually broke it for a day and tested the 0.06 BTC resistance. The very important aspect was here that it just had picked up enough momentum and volume to break through the downtrend line, and then it was supposed to break a HUGE resistance right away, of course it got rejected there because there was not enough momentum and volume left. This had a steep retracement with it, nevertheless, it was hugging the downtrend for almost a month, leaving it for a day but coming back again and retracting more from the downtrend. It had a small stop at the intermediate support line (orange) and continued from there, as already explained this support line is able a stronger momentum.
Eventually, it tried to break the intermediate support and resistance, failed to do so twice and continued its journey to the next support at 0.039 BTC (indicated green-dotted in the chart). From there on it was moving sideways and approaching the downtrend, trying to push through it multiple times right now in a very short period of time. Also sitting on support during the whole time.
Based on that there are basically two options left.
The 1ST one would be that DASHBTC breaks the downtrend very soon and pushes towards the intermediate support/resistance deciding there, whether it uses it as a new support for a short time and continues the push towards 0.06 BTC OR it gets rejected there and comes back to the support it sitting at right now.
The 2ND option is that it breaks the current support, gets wrecked and retraces even further down to the next and the last-hope-support at 0.0338 BTC. From there on it would most likely have really a lot of volume and buyers to let it bounce hard and break the downtrend with a very high chance.
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Cheers, Tomas
Good analysis...I feel it will bounce back from here... Even when I draw the Fibonacci also 33% retracement line suggest the same thing.
But in crypto it seems technical has very less effective as I have seen many times they don't follow as per my expectations..
This primarily may be because big players always creating some panic or excitement among the retail investors..
Following you and expecting many more analysis with depth from you..
@saswat036
thanks man!! The thing with the analysis right now is that it helps with overall trend and where a price might move to or retrace to, exactly when whales are playing around! This is the reason why you see me making right now more TA on daily and 240, even though I prefer trading 60 - 5
@saswat036
Good posting...^^