Crypto Markets Investment Strategy- minimize risk and leverage crashes!

in #crypto7 years ago (edited)

Crash pic Image source

After the blood bath today, I'm sure that a lot of the determined crypto investors are wondering what could've been done to better prepare for the massive market crash today.
If you don't know by now, in great parts this sell off was due to Chinese government trying to further block any crypto activities (this time it was peer to peer transactions).
Another factor to the panic today I believe was some socio-economics trend such as the Chinese New Year. If you look at the historical trends this happens every year in January.

Now, what the unexperienced investors do is sell during the dip, some give up and others just blame it on bad luck and never come back. What the seasoned investors do is, instead of selling they are buying! But how you might ask, when everything was down? Does this mean that they cut their loses from one crypto and buy into another? No! They did their homework, they seen this before and now they are better prepared!

In a day like today I realized that part of the diversification of the portfolio should include a good old fiat ($). Yes, the same $ that is depreciating every day and that has 0% chance of going up by 20000% in 2 weeks.
However, this same $ has still one property that no crypto currently has and that it is very stable. Always having stable funds is basically betting that there will be a crash and when that happens you re-invest and buy everything on 30-50% discount instead of HODL and not be able to do anything with your investments until the market re-bounds.

Therefore, after the markets recover I will re-balance my portfolio as follows:

30% in USD/USDT - this will be the reserves used as means to take an opportunity from any particular crashes.
30% in major cryptos (ETH, LTC and Monero) - these will be the less risky, minor growth and long term investments. HODL these!
30% in alt coins (XRP, PRG,STEEM,etc) - these will be shorter term, higher potential for growth and more risky investments
10% in ICOs - these will be the riskiest investments yet with the higher potential for growth

Now the key to all of these investments is to also take the time to research and identify which ICOs and alt coins have future and are worth investing. Basically identifying what to invest in is crucial since if you buy into a crypto with bad fundamentals then nothing can help you.
I’ve you identify which alt coins are worth investing, then you have to be patient and apply some day trading techniques to get on these at the right price points (buy low).

For the ICO's do your due diligence and make sure the business idea, plan, team and advisors are top notch and worth the risk.

Last but not least, is after every trade you need to keep an eye on the balance of the portfolio and constantly maintaining it. An important peace of the balancing should by continuously raking some of the profit from the top. Some of the profit should then be used to refill the fiat($) part of the portfolio and certain percentage if not all should never be put back into the market, not until you recover your initial investment. This way even if all is lost you had your initial investment back.

Here are some additional ideas on diversification
https://medium.com/@shanif/crypto-diversification-believe-it-or-not-you-actually-make-the-most-money-in-cryptos-when-you-29972f5141b

Please comment and let me know what do you think? What is your strategy? What has worked for you?



Important! Register with multiple crypto exchanges so you can leverage their different benefits:
https://www.coinbase.com - Purchase Bitcoins, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoins or Ethereum with USD ($) with both credit cards and checking accounts.
https://www.binance.com - Offers various different alt-coins and and does not mandate user identity verification.
https://cryptopia.co.nz/ - The biggest selection of alt-coins
https://www.kucoin.com - Offers the crypto coin KCS which pays dividends to its users.

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Rule #1 in reducing risk in crypto investments - do your own research and take everything you read online with a grain salt.
99.99% of people have a motive and will shill shitcoins just to make a profit.

Agree! The question that I ask myself before investing in any coin is if I meet the sales guy on the street and he does the pitch will I give them the $ and how much?
Basically remove the flashy pictures and marketing crap and understand the business fundamentals and what defferintiates this idea from anything else.

Hi galingv,
important insights!
There are sites where you find similar advise, but it's always good to repeat :). Here are my humble quick two cents:

  • a possibly good one from a known Dutch trader-investor: avoid ICO's...but invest (prior) in the coins of the platforms on which the largest-hyped upcoming ico's are built upon...as those joining the ICO's often must pay exactly with this 'underlying' coin (*)

  • regarding diversification: this one supports the advise to certainly choose a couple of well researched small coins (too) because of their small market cap ... backed by a google spreadsheet with data from his own trading
    https://medium.com/@shanif/crypto-diversification-believe-it-or-not-you-actually-make-the-most-money-in-cryptos-when-you-29972f5141b

  • regarding your fiat reserve... as far as my limited experience goes, if your exchange supports no fiat, you can use USDT instead of fiat too. As such, you don't need to "bring it over" from an exchange or wallet everytime. [Curious what others have to say...]

  • often heard advise: choose coins with a project...and avoid getting trapped in pump&dumps. More like this, you can read in this cool trading strategy tips longlist:
    https://chrisdunn.com/50-crypto-trading-investing-lessons/

  • ...all the best :)

Hasse
#crypto #portfolio #investing

(*)

(in Dutch)

Good point on the USDT! I totally forgot to mention that since yes the USDT is thethered to the $ and can be used as a local alternative and is great to park your 30% reserves. Yet, for cashing out your profits my recommendation is transfer these from the exchange and get them in real $. This way if the exchange implodes you are not stuck with the USDT bag.

When thinking about strategies...
Two more thing come to my mind:

  • after another post: some mention a time lag in the trends of the 'following' altcoins vs bitcoin... which could be helpful. I can see that as a theoretical possibility...but not how to use it exactly...For future research :-)
  • maybe the logic itself but: don't judge a coins +/- trends on the trading pairs in your exchange (as the paired currency's trend can create a false impression) but on their absolute value on coinmarketcap...

[Edit: learning as I speak... I just saw JK mentioning in his videoblog there's a hughe risk of USDT collapsing... endorsing your last point :) !
https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@jeffreykirdeikis/the-great-crypto-correction-of-2018-what-does-the-future-have-in-store ]

Very good points as well! The laggging trend is interesting one and worth exploring more. As for the true gains and losses of an alrcoin, that is absolutely true! I wrote about this exact thing few weeks ago when ETH was having a bull run and made all ALT coins to drop in price. You can read more on this here.

https://steemit.com/crypto/@galingv/crypto-investors-beware-of-what-does-alt-coins-true-gains-really-mean

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