First off, you need to remember that the crypto market is simply a drop in a bigger ocean. Right now, cryptos are a new, somewhat unproven asset class. And, with a market-cap of only $180 Billion, they are small potatoes. So, it's no wonder you can't understand what's going on with cryptos by looking at crptos. It's the same thing as trying to undertand what it going on with a moving car, while you're laying down in the back seat with your eyes closed (you have no idea that you're about to go off of a cliff).

I have been studying markets, money, precious metals, and cryptos for about 8 years. To know what is going on with the crypto markets, here is what I check out - in order of importance:

#1 - the U.S. Bond markets
#2 - the LIBOR interest rates
#3 - the strength/weakness of the U.S. Dollar
#4 - the price of oil
#5 - the price of precious metals
#6 - the housing market
#7 - cryptocurrencies
#8 - casual scan of financial news stories of the day

You must understand what is going on in the broader market categories - equities, securities, commodoties, metals, real estate, banking, technology, energy - before you can begin to project and/or interpret what numbers in the smaller markets, such as cryptos, may or may not do.

If you know that wealth is not created or destroyed, it simply moves from one asset class to another, then you need to be able to figure out which way is the money going??? When does it go into and out of the various asset classes? Why? Who is in control of the money? What are the people who are in control of most of the money trying to do? How are they doing it?

Mostly, when everybody seems to be going in a certain direction - it's a safe bet that they're going the wrong way. Right now, there's an increase in people bailing out of the crypto market. This is when the "strong hands" HODL, and at some point a whole lot of BIG MONEY will swoop in and take advantage of these super-low crypto prices.

Let me tell you what I, personally, am doing: I am buying and stacking physical silver and a little gold. Now, I'm SERIOUSLY getting myself set up in a position with more CASH in hand - so I can buy the bottom of some of these cryptocurrencies. But, which ones to buy??? A very safe bet is any crypto which is already listed on CoinBase: BitCoin, Ethereum, LiteCoin, Ox, BCC, and Ethereum Classic. These coins have been vetted and approved by the U.S. regulating agencies - the SEC and FTC. I sold out of my cryptos 4 months ago and moved into physical silver. I took some losses on cryptos, but my money has remained very safe in silver. And, I've been keeping some cash ready to go in my bank account, credit accounts, and home safe. 4 or 5 months ago, I felt cryptos would continue to go down - and they did. The money is not ready to move into cryptos quite yet, but the more their prices become manipulated downwards, the closer we are getting to the next big move. I don't think it's going to be into cryptos either - I think it's got a better chance of going into precious metals. But, if you split your cash 50/50 between both asset classes - you won't be in a bad position.

If your already "all in" on cryptos, you're going to have to HODL. NEVER, NEVER sell for a loss if you can wait it out for a couple more years and cryptos will be riding up on another bull market - which could be massively bigger than the last upwards spike. If you can wait 5 - 7 years, you should be getting back at least 1000% profits from the cryptos that do survive the dollar collapse.