Coronavirus summary update 11/04/2020

https://www.enrich.org/blog/the-enrich-response-to-covid-19

10/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,602,216 (+7.32% from 09/04/2020)
Deaths = 95,735 (5.97%) (+7.51% from 09/04/2020)
Recovery = 355,066 (22.16%) (+7.09% from 09/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,151,415 (+7.38% from 09/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 68,739
Projected recovery = 255,153

Expected recovery rate = 610,219 (+7.12% from 09/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 164,474 (1 in 9) (+7.53% from 09/04/2020)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/02/world/asia/china-coronavirus-wuhan.html

11/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,698,416 (+5.66% from 10/04/2020)
Deaths = 102,764 (6.05%) (+6.84% from 10/04/2020)
Recovery = 376,677 (22.17%) (+5.73% from 10/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,218,975

Projected deaths = 73,747
Projected recovery = 270,246

Expected recovery rate = 646,923 (+5.67% from 10/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 176,511 (1 in 9) (+6.81% from 10/04/2020)

https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-03-09-individual-response-covid-19-important-

UK Data

10/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 65,872 (+6.71% from 09/04/2020)
Deaths = 7,978 (12.11%) (+11.4% from 09/04/2020)
Recovery = 359 (0.54%) (+3.98% from 09/04/2020)

Active cases = 57,535 (+6.13% from 09/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 6,967
Projected recovery = 310

Expected recovery rate = 669 (+3.28% from 09/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 14,945 (1 in 4) (+11.14% from 09/04/2020)

https://twnews.co.uk/gb-news/london-s-canary-wharf-in-coronavirus-panic-hsbc-office

11/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 74,605 (+11.07% from 10/04/2020)
Deaths = 8,958 (12%) (+10.93% from 10/04/2020)
Recovery = 588 (0.78%) (+38.95% from 10/04/2020)

Active cases = 65,059 (11.56% from 10/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 7,807
Projected recovery = 25,340

Expected recovery rate = 25,928 (+97.41%)
Expected deaths = 16,765 (1 in 4) (+10.85% from 10/04/2020)

https://ahdc.vet.cornell.edu/news/equine_enteric_coronavirus.cfm

Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu

Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 11/04/2020 = 102,764 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 64.57% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 71.46% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 84.09% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.

https://blog.siliconbullet.com/covid-19-a-summary-of-the-governments-announce

14 day summary

28+29/03/2020 (1 in 12)

cc = +8.92, +10.22%
d = 4.58%, 4.65%
r = 21.98%, 21%

30+31/03/2020

cc = +8.11%, +8.05%
d = 4.69%, 4.79%
r = 21.03%, 21.10%

01+02/04/2020 (1 in 12)

cc = +9.14%, +8.23%
d = 4.9%, 5.04%
r = 20.74%, 20.69%

03+04/04/2020 (1 in 11/10)

cc = +7.86%, +7.61%
d = 5.22%, 5.35%
r = 20.81%, 20.61%

05+06/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +8.49%, +5.65%
d = 5.38%, 5.44%
r = 20.62%, 20.43%

07+08/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +5.41%, +5.77%
d = 5.54%, 5.74%
r = 21.12%, 21.06%

09+10/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.66%, +7.32%
d = 5.96%, 5.97%
r = 22.21%, 22.16%

https://telanganatoday.com/uk-announces-charter-flights-to-rescue-stranded-brits-from-

Flights in to the UK from Hotspots

LHR

VS 207 Virgin Atlantic (HKG) Hong Kong 5:30 AM Landed
AA 100 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:10 AM Scheduled
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
MH 9414 ^ Malaysia Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
ET 700 Ethiopian Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
AC 6023 ^ Air Canada (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
NH 5354 ^ ANA (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
TP 8984 ^ TAP Air Portugal (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
UA 7210 ^ United Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 9:35 AM En Route
AA 6135 ^ American Airlines (JFK) New York 9:35 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 9:35 AM En Route
IB 7352 ^ Iberia (JFK) New York 9:35 AM En Route
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AF 6759 ^ Air France (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AM 7669 ^ Aeromexico (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
KL 4828 ^ KLM (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
IB 3160 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
AA 8805 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
BA 7068 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
JL 7838 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
AZ 202 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 11:25 AM Scheduled
QR 3 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 1:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7003 ^ British Airways (DOH) Doha 1:15 PM Scheduled
QR 7 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 2:20 PM Scheduled
BA 7007 ^ British Airways (DOH) Doha 2:20 PM Scheduled
BA 315 British Airways (CDG) Paris 2:30 PM Scheduled
MH 9669 ^ Malaysia Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:30 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
IB 3166 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8788 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7058 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7844 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7088 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
OB 5104 ^ BoA (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled
BA 481 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
AA 6293 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
IB 7482 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled