Coronavirus summary update 26/04/2020

in #coronavirus4 years ago

image.png
https://news.umich.edu/coronavirus-u-m-experts-can-discuss/

25/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 2,790,986 (+2.89% from 24/04/2020)
Deaths = 195,920 (7.01%) (+2.56% from 24/04/2020)
Recovery = 781,382 (1 in 3) (27.99%) (+4.89% from 24/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,813,684 (+2.06% from 24/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 127,139
Projected recovery = 507,650

Expected recovery rate = 1,289,032 (+4.56% from 24/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 323,052 (1 in 8) (+2.2% from 24/04/2020)

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https://www.newscientist.com/article/2235342-covid-19-why-wont-the-who

26/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 2,897,645 (+3.68% from 25/04/2020)
Deaths = 202,880 (7%) (+3.43% from 25/04/2020)
Recovery = 817,042 (1 in 3) (28.19%) (+4.36% from 25/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,877,723 (+3.41% from 25/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 131,440
Projected recovery = 529,330

Expected recovery rate = 1,346,372 (+4.25% from 25/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 334,320 (1 in 8) (+3.37% from 25/04/2020)

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https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/news/coronavirus-uk-total-cases-jumps-up-t

UK Data

Confirmed cases = 144,635 (+4.41% from 24/04/2020)
Deaths = 19,506 (13.48%) (+3.93% from 24/04/2020)
Recovery = 721 (1 in 200) (0.49%) (+1.24% from 24/04/2020)

Active cases = 124,408 (+4.5% from 24/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 16,770
Projected recovery = 609

Expected recovery rate = 1,330 (+0.97% from 24/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 36,276 (1 in 3) (+3.97% from 24/04/2020)

image.png
https://internewscast.com/uk-coronavirus-live-world-has-lost-battle-to-stop-covid-19-as-n

26/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 149,569 (+3.29% from 25/04/2020)
Deaths = 20,319 (13.58%) (+4% from 25/04/2020)
Recovery = 774 (1 in 193) (0.51%) (+6.84% from 25/04/2020)

(There is something not correct about this when the world recovery ratio is 1 in 8)

Active cases = 128,476 (+3.16% from 25/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 17,447
Projected recovery = 655

Expected recovery rate = 1,429 (+6.92% from 25/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 37,766 (1 in 3) (+3.94% from 25/04/2020)

image.png
https://coronaviruswuhansymptoms.blogspot.com/2019/03/coronavirus-mers-sars.html

Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu

Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 25/04/2020 = 202,880 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 30.04% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 43.64%% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 68.59% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.

image.png
https://www.scdhec.gov/health/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-

26-day summary report

This 26-day report was performed to illustrate that, not only are the confirmed Coronavirus cases decreasing i.e. +9.14% - 3.68+% and the rate of recovery increasing i.e. 20.74% - 28.19%, and it is dissipating at a rate consistent with every Seasonal Flu since 1935. Unfortunately, the death rate has increased +4.9% - +7%, but how many of the death can be attributable to COVID-19 i.e. how many of the new confirmed cases are in an at-risk group. Therefore, as predicted, the decline in COVID-19 is going to become apparent by the end of April/beginning of May 2020. And, that the virus will be gone by the 2/3 week of May 2020.

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http://www.holidayextras.co.uk/heathrow-arrivals.html

Flights in to the UK from Hotspots

LHR

SQ 322 Singapore Airlines (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
VS 7969 ^ Virgin Atlantic (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
VA 5558 ^ Virgin Australia (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
TP 8404 ^ TAP Air Portugal (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
SK 8042 ^ SAS (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
NZ 3322 ^ Air New Zealand (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
FJ 5901 ^ Fiji Airways (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM En Route
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
ET 700 Ethiopian Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
AC 6023 ^ Air Canada (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
NH 5354 ^ ANA (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
TP 8984 ^ TAP Air Portugal (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
UA 7210 ^ United Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM En Route
AC 7200 Air Canada (YUL) Montreal 7:03 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
IB 7352 ^ Iberia (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
EI 8814 ^ Aer Lingus (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AA 6135 ^ American Airlines (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AC 848 Air Canada (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
UL 2848 ^ SriLankan Airlines (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
UA 8384 ^ United Airlines (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
SQ 1015 ^ Singapore Airlines (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
OS 8290 ^ Austrian (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
MS 9617 ^ EgyptAir (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
LH 6583 ^ Lufthansa (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
ET 1141 ^ Ethiopian Airlines (YYZ) Toronto 8:35 AM En Route
LH 900 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 8:40 AM Scheduled
VS 688 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York En Route
AZ 202 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 11:25 AM Scheduled
EW 9466 Eurowings (DUS) Dusseldorf 11:30 AM Scheduled
LH 5354 ^ Lufthansa (DUS) Dusseldorf 11:30 AM Scheduled
BA 983 British Airways (TXL) Berlin 1:30 PM Scheduled
AF 1780 Air France (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
AM 6023 ^ Aeromexico (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
CZ 7037 ^ China Southern Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
DL 8324 ^ Delta Air Lines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
G3 5082 ^ Gol (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
MK 9414 ^ Air Mauritius (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
UU 8780 ^ Air Austral (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VN 3652 ^ Vietnam Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VS 6701 ^ Virgin Atlantic (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
LH 908 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
UA 9100 ^ United Airlines (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
BA 475 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
AA 6288 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
IB 7477 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
JL 7742 ^ JAL (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
MH 9701 ^ Malaysia Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
IB 3166 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8788 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7058 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7844 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7088 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
OB 5104 ^ BoA (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BT 5630 Air Baltic (LIN) Milan 3:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
BA 475 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
AA 6288 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
IB 7477 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
JL 7742 ^ JAL (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
MH 9701 ^ Malaysia Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
IB 3166 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8788 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7058 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7844 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7088 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
OB 5104 ^ BoA (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled
BR 67 EVA Air (BKK) Bangkok 7:25 PM Scheduled

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