Coronavirus summary update 20/04/2020
https://hollywoodunlocked.com/first-american-coronavirus-death-confirmed/
19/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 2,329,539 (+3.42% from 18/04/2020)
Deaths = 160,717 (6.89%) (+4.01% from 18/04/2020)
Recovery = 595,229 (25.55%) (+4.18% from 18/04/2020)
Active cases = 1,573,593 (+3.07% from 18/04/2020)
Projected deaths = 108,420
Projected recovery = 402,053
Expected recovery rate = 997,282 (+5.86% from 18/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 269,137 (1 in 8) (+3.86% from 18/04/2020)
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/30/world/europe/italy-coronavirus-cruise.h
20/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 2,404,071 (+3.1% from 19/04/2020)
Deaths = 165,229 (6.87%) (+2.73% from 19/04/2020)
Recovery = 624,698 (25.98%) (+4.71% from 19/04/2020)
Active cases = 1,614,144 (+2.51% from 19/04/2020)
Projected deaths = 110,891
Projected recovery = 419,354
Expected recovery rate = 1,044,052 (+4.47% from 19/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 276,120 (+2.52% from 19/04/2020)
https://metro.co.uk/2020/02/10/coronavirus-declared-imminent-threat-public-heal
UK Data
19/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 115,314 (+4.8% from 18/04/2020)
Deaths = 15,464 (13.41%) (+5.74% from 18/04/2020)
Recovery = 414 (0.35%) (+4.34% from 18/04/2020)
Active cases = 99,436 (+4.36% from 18/04/2020)
Projected deaths = 13,334
Projected recovery = 348
Expected recovery rate = 762 (+3.28% from 18/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 28,798 (1 in 4) (+5.7% from 18/04/2020)
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-government-declares-corona
20/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 121,173 (+4.83 from 19/04/2020)
Deaths = 16,060 (13.25%) (+3.71% from 19/04/2020)
Recovery = 437 (0.36%) (+5.26% from 19/04/2020)
Active cases = 104,676
Projected deaths = 13,869
Projected recovery = 376
Expected recovery rate = 813 (+6.27% from 19/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 29,929 (+3.77% from 19/04/2020)
https://journalstar.com/news/local/lancaster-county-records-two-influenza-deaths
Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu
Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 20/04/2020 = 160,717 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 44.58% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 55.35% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 75.12% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.
STOP THE LOCKDOWN - UK Hospital data and confirmed cases
There are 1,257 hospitals in the UK. That means;
cc = 121,173 / H-in-UK = 1,257 = 96 patients per hospital (pph).
However, the estimated percentage of at-risk groups and those over 55 is around 27.7%. Therefore:
96pph / 100 * 27.7 = 26pph
The rest i.e. 70 of these will be either isolated at home, only have mild symptoms that are short lived, be immune (estimated 80% immunity rate – based on 1.2 million tests in the U.S.A) or – like the rest of us - asymptomatic. So, how full are the or hospitals? And with nurses and doctors now uploading dance routines to TIK-TOK (Own by the Chinese Communist Party BTW) and You Tube it demonstrates:
- The virus is not that problematic
- We can all go back to work if hospitals are not overwhelmed
- We shouldn't be cheering for dance routines and boredom
- We were lied too right from the beginning
https://safecast.org/2020/03/covid-19-testing-in-japan-the-situation-and-ramific
20-day summary report
This 20-day report was performed to illustrate that, not only are the confirmed Coronavirus cases decreasing i.e. +9.14% - +3.1% and the rate of recovery increasing i.e. 20.74% - 25.98%, and it is dissipating at a rate consistent with every Seasonal Flu since 1935. Unfortunately, the death rate has increased +4.9% - +6.87%, but this – once again – is consistent with the number of new confirmed cases and infected at-risk groups.
Therefore, as predicted, the decline in COVID-19 is going to become apparent by the end of April/beginning of May 2020. And, that the virus will be gone by the 2/3 week of May 2020.
https://aboutmanchester.co.uk/cases-of-coronavirus-in-the-uk-have-doubled/
Flights in to the UK from Hotspots
LHR
CX 251 Cathay Pacific (HKG) Hong Kong 5:40 AM Landed
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AA 6135 ^ American Airlines (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
LH 900 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 8:40 AM Scheduled
NH 6233 ^ ANA (FRA) Frankfurt 8:40 AM Scheduled
QR 11 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 9:05 AM En Route
BA 7009 ^ British Airways (DOH) Doha 9:05 AM En Route
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AF 6759 ^ Air France (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
KL 4828 ^ KLM (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
BA 309 British Airways (CDG) Paris 12:25 PM Scheduled
AZ 206 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 1:25 PM Scheduled
BA 983 British Airways (TXL) Berlin 1:40 PM Scheduled
AF 1780 Air France (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
AM 6023 ^ Aeromexico (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
CZ 7037 ^ China Southern Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
DL 8324 ^ Delta Air Lines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
G3 5082 ^ Gol (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
MK 9414 ^ Air Mauritius (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
UU 8780 ^ Air Austral (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VN 3652 ^ Vietnam Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VS 6701 ^ Virgin Atlantic (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
LH 908 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
OU 5486 ^ Croatia Airlines (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
UA 9100 ^ United Airlines (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
BT 5630 Air Baltic (LIN) Milan 3:15 PM Scheduled
JL 43 JAL (HND) Tokyo 3:50 PM En Route
BA 4603 ^ British Airways (HND) Tokyo 3:50 PM En Route
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 851 Bulgaria Air (SOF) Sofia 4:45 PM Scheduled
IB 3172 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8833 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7060 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7840 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7076 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled
BR 67 EVA Air (BKK) Bangkok 7:25 PM Scheduled
BA 355 British Airways (NCE) Nice 7:40 PM Scheduled
LA 5583 ^ LATAM Airlines (NCE) Nice 7:40 PM Scheduled
BA 481 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
AA 6293 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
IB 7482 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled