Coronavirus summary update 16/04/2020
https://ukinvestormagazine.co.uk/uk-government-announces-plans-to-tackle-coronavirus/
Question: Isn't it useless to legislate for social distancing when we distance ourselves every day from people we do not know?
How many can truly say that when they go shopping or walk down the street, see someone in the way or coming toward them and they do not move out of the way and give that person space to go passed?
This is something called a Zone of Proximity, and - psychologically speaking - we do this all the time. So what use is there in legislating for something we do naturally?
Zone of Proximity has 3 predefined distances that we are comfortable having another human in our zone of proximity. The 3 zones are:
- Intimate Zone = 45 - 50cm
- Friend Zone = 1.2 metres
- Social Zone = 3 - 3.6 metres
Hence, if humans distance themselves everyday anyway, WHY LEGISLATE FOR IT?
https://www.restaurantnz.co.nz/2020/01/29/advice-for-members-on-the-coronav
15/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 1,981,239 (+3.04% from 14/05/2020)
Deaths = 126,681 (6.39%) (+5.52% from 14/05/2020)
Recovery = 486,622 (24.56%) (+6.84% from 14/05/2020)
Active cases = 1,367,936 (+1.45% from 14/05/2020)
Projected deaths = 87,411
Projected recovery = 335,965
Expected recovery rate = 822,586 (+6.28% from 14/05/2020)
Expected deaths = 214,092 (1 in 9) (+4.86% from 14/05/2020)
https://www.onenewspage.com/n/UK/1zlq13sl4i/Coronavirus-symptoms-signs-
16/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 2,064,115 (+4.01% from 15/04/2020)
Deaths = 137,020 (6.63%) (+7.54% from 15/04/2020)
Recovery = 512,092 (24.8%) (+4.97% from 15/04/2020)
Active cases = 1,415,003 (+3.32% from 15/04/2020)
Projected deaths = 93,814
Projected recovery = 350,920
Expected recovery rate = 863,012 (+4.68% from 15/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 230,834 (1 in 8) (+7.5% from 15/04/2020)
https://gofashionideas.com/world-news/medics-battling-nightmare-scenario-after-
UK Data
15/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 94,845 (+5.56% from 14/05/2020)
Deaths = 12,107 (12.76%) (+6.42% from 14/05/2020)
Recovery = 323 (0.34%) (+3.09%)
Active cases = 82,415 (+5.44% from 14/05/2020)
Projected deaths = 10,516
Projected recovery = 280
Expected recovery rate = 603 (+4.31% from 14/05/2020)
Expected deaths = 22,623 (+6.38 from 14/05/2020)
https://starctmag.com/news/coronavirus-uk-update-covid-19-related-hospital-deaths-in
16/04/2020
Confirmed cases = 99,489 (+4.66% from 14/05/2020)
Deaths = 12,868 (12.93%) (+5.91% from 14/05/2020)
Recovery = 368 (0.36%) (+12.22% from 14/05/2020)
Active cases = 86,253 (+4.44% from 14/05/2020)
Projected deaths = 11,152
Projected recovery = 310
Expected recovery rate = 678 (+11.06% from 14/05/2020)
Expected deaths = 24,020 (1 in 4) (+5.81% from 14/05/2020)
https://www.sciencealert.com/here-s-how-many-coronavirus-tests-per-capita-have-been-comp
Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu
Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 14/04/2020 = 137,020 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 52.75% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 61.93% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 78.78% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.
https://www.boisestatepublicradio.org/post/idaho-department-health-and-welfare
If you do not believe that the COVID-19 virus will not be gone by the 2/3 week of May then:
UV-C light will eliminate the threat of bacteria, VIRUSES, mold spores, and allergy-inducing microorganisms. Keep in mind that most of the UV from the Sun is scattered in the atmosphere. It is almost light shining through fog at UV wavelengths. The survivability of viruses is typically measured in UVC light at 253.7 nm, but sometimes also in the UVC-UVB bands at 200–320 nm. Therefore, in direct noon solar exposure in the UVB-UVC band i.e. is around 5 watts per square meter means that the average virus will be 90% killed in about 20 SECONDS, but more resistant viruses may take 10 MINUTES of direct noon solar exposure on a cloudless day to kill 90% of the virus. Overcast days are going to require considerably more time to kill the virus.
If you are trying to predict whether a particular virus will die off due to warm weather, that is more difficult. If people are OUTDOORS, then A LOT MORE OF THE VIRUS WILL BE KILLED by UV BEFORE infecting SOMEONE as OPPOSED to INDOORS. Hence, being OUTDOORS will SLOW the SPREAD of VIRUSES. Moreover, COVID-19 is susceptible to UV from SUNLIGHT and even from temperatures WELL BELOW boiling water. It’s a rather FRAGILE virus. It needs a HOST for protection and replication. Hence, someone infected would ONLY need to spend time INDOORS during the symptomatic and/or communicable stage i.e. at the end of the symptomatic stage. Which is what we would all do if we got a cold or flu...common sense really isn't it?!
http://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/Portable-uv-light-sterilization-to-kill_600
Unnecessary lockdown
I have looked at the confirmed cases and the population of the UK as of 2019. I will show how unnecessary this lockdown is. Especially, when the hosptials are generally empty and the staff are now doing dance routines on You Tube as they are bored and have little to do.
UK Data
Pop. = 67,010,000
Confirmed Cases = 99,489
% of UK infected = 0.1%; Consistent with UK Flu data for 2019
Death rate = 0.1%; Consistent with UK Flu data for 2019
Once again, if the COVID-19 virus is so lethal, then why are the percentages no different than last years Seasonal Flu? Why? Because it isn't. Therefore, this lockdown is a pilot study for greater things to come. I think the manic street preachers said it best; " If you tolerate this, then your children will be next!"
http://www.airbetter.org/guides-to-choose-a-uv-air-purifier-for-home/
14-day summary report
These 14-day reports were performed to illustrate that, not only are the confirmed Coronavirus cases decreasing i.e. +9.14% - +4.01% and the rate of recovery increasing i.e. 20.74% - 24.8%, but it is dissipating at a rate consistent with every Seasonal Flu since 1935. Unfortunately, the death rate has increased 4.9% - 6.39%, but this – once again – is consistent with the number of new confirmed cases and infected at-risk groups.
Therefore, as predicted, the decline in COVID-19 is going to become apparent by the end of April/beginning of May 2020. And, that the virus will be gone by the 2/3 week of May 2020.
https://www.travelsupermarket.com/en-gb/flights/united-kingdom/england/london/
Flights in to the UK from Hotspots
LHR
CX 251 Cathay Pacific (HKG) Hong Kong 5:40 AM En Route
KE 529 Korean Air (FRA) Frankfurt 6:05 AM Scheduled
AA 100 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:10 AM Scheduled
AA 9432 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:15 AM En Route
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
MH 9414 ^ Malaysia Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
LH 900 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 8:40 AM Scheduled
NH 6233 ^ ANA (FRA) Frankfurt 8:40 AM Scheduled
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AM 7667 ^ Aeromexico (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AZ 202 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 11:25 AM Scheduled
LH 908 Lufthansa (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
UA 9100 ^ United Airlines (FRA) Frankfurt 2:40 PM Scheduled
BT 5630 Air Baltic (LIN) Milan 3:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
MU 551 China Eastern Airlines (PVG) Shanghai 6:40 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled
BA 481 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 7:45 PM Scheduled
AA 6293 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 7:45 PM Scheduled
IB 7482 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 7:45 PM Scheduled