Coronavirus summary update 14/04/2020

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200124/coronavirus-2020-outbreak-latest-updates

13/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,850,527 (+3.93% from 12/04/2020)
Deaths = 114,254 (6.17%) (+4.71% from 12/04/2020)
Recovery = 430,455 (23.26%) (+6.05% from 12/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,305,818 (+3.16% from 12/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 80,568
Projected recovery = 303,733

Expected recovery rate = 734,188 (+5.79% from 12/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 194, 822 (1 in 9) (+4.4% from 12/04/2020)

https://hypercitigh.com/international-news/coronavirus-why-humans-are-catching

14/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,920,985 (+3.66% from 13/04/2020)
Deaths = 119,686 (6.23%) (+4.54% from 13/04/2020)
Recovery = 453,289 (23.59%) (+5.03% from 13/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,348,010 (+3.12% from 13/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 83,981
Projected recovery = 317,559

Expected recovery rate = 770,848 (+4.75% from 13/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 203,667 (1 in 9)(+4.34% from 13/04/2020)

https://thetab.com/uk/2020/02/27/coronavirus-confirmed-cases-uk-144531

UK Data

13/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 85,208 (+6.24% from 12/04/2020)
Deaths = 10,612 (12.45%) (+6.94% from 12/04/2020)
Recovery = 283 (0.33%) (-120.84% from 12/04/2020)

Active cases = 74,313 (+6.63 from 12/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 9,251
Projected recovery = 245

Expected recovery rate = 528 (-2.46% from 12/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 19,863 (1 in 4) (+7.11% from 12/04/2020)

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1252283/coronavirus-UK-locations-where

14/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 89,571 (+4.87% from 13/04/2020)
Deaths = 11,329 (12.64%) (+6.32% from 13/04/2020)
Recovery = 313 (0.34%) (+9.58% from 13/04/2020)

Active cases = 77,929 (+4.64% from 13/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 9,850
Projected recovery = 264

Expected recovery rate = 577 *+8.49%)
Expected deaths = 21,179 (1 in 4) (+6.21% from 13/04/2020)

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/03/will-the-us-become-italy-in-a-couple-of

Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu

Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 14/04/2020 = 119,686 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 58.72% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 66.75% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 81.47% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/2/19-0697-f1

14 day summary

01+02/04/2020 (1 in 12)

cc = +9.14%; +8.23%
d = 4.9%; 5.04%
r = 20.74%; 20.69%

03+04/04/2020 (1 in 11/10)

cc = +7.86%; +7.61%
d = 5.22%; 5.35%
r = 20.81%; 20.61%

05+06/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +8.49%; +5.65%
d = 5.38%; 5.44%
r = 20.62% 20.43%

07+08/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +5.41%; +5.77%
d = 5.54%; 5.74%
r = 21.12%; 21.06%

09+10/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.66%; +7.32%
d = 5.96% 5.97%
r = 22.21%; 22.16%

11+12/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +5.66%; +4.45%
d = 6.05%; 6.12%
r = 22.17%; 22.74%

13+14/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.93%; +3.66%
d = 6.17%; 6.23%
r = 23.26%; 23.59%

https://flipboard.com/topic/unitedkingdom/virgin-atlantic-says-thank-you-and-go

Flights in to the UK from Hotspots

LHR

AA 100 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:10 AM Scheduled
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
MH 9414 ^ Malaysia Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
QR 9 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 7:05 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AF 6759 ^ Air France (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AM 7669 ^ Aeromexico (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
KL 4828 ^ KLM (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
BT 5630 Air Baltic (LIN) Milan 3:15 PM Scheduled
PK 785 Pakistan International Airlines (ISB) Islamabad 4:00 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
IB 3172 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8833 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7060 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7840 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7076 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 481 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
AA 6293 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
IB 7482 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled