Coronavirus summary update 13/04/2020

https://www.worthynews.com/47619-coronavirus-outbreak-already-at-pandemic

12/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,777,666 (+4.45% from 11/04/2020)
Deaths = 108,867 (6.12%) (+5.6% from 11/04/2020)
Recovery = 404,372 (22.74%) (+6.84% from 11/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,264,427 (+3.59% from 11/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 77,382
Projected recovery = 287,530

Expected recovery rate = 691,902 (+6.5% from 11/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 186,249 (1 in 9) (+5.22% from 11/04/2020)

https://www.fastcompany.com/90469200/this-coronavirus-suit-protects-you-insid

13/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,850,527 (+3.93% from 12/04/2020)
Deaths = 114,254 (6.17%) (+4.71% from 12/04/2020)
Recovery = 430,455 (23.26%) (+6.05% from 12/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,305,818 (+3.16% from 12/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 80,568
Projected recovery = 303,733

Expected recovery rate = 734,188 (+5.79% from 12/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 194, 822 (1 in 9) (+4.4% from 12/04/2020)

https://metro.co.uk/2020/03/03/number-uk-coronavirus-cases-jumps-51-1233

UK Data

12/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 79,885 (+6.6% from 11/04/2020)
Deaths = 9,875 (12.36%) (+9.28% from 11/04/2020)
Recovery = 625 (0.78%) (+5.92% from 11/04/2020)

Active cases = 69,385 (+6.23% from 11/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 8,575
Projected recovery = 541

Expected recovery rate = 1,166 (-1.2% from 11/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 18,450 (1 in 4) (+9.13% from 11/04/2020)

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11085950/coronavirus-news-uk-live-update/

13/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 85,208 (+6.24% from 12/04/2020)
Deaths = 10,612 (12.45%) (+6.94% from 12/04/2020)
Recovery = 283 (0.33%) (-120.84% from 12/04/2020)

Active cases = 74,313 (+6.63 from 12/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 9,251
Projected recovery = 245

Expected recovery rate = 528 (-2.46% from 12/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 19,863 (1 in 4) (+7.11% from 12/04/2020)

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8085837/Coronavirus-outbreak-peak-U

Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu

Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 13/04/2020 = 114,254 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 60.61% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 68.27% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 82.31% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.

https://www.cityam.com/uk-should-expect-more-coronavirus-cases-as-brazil-and-

14 day summary

01+02/04/2020 (1 in 12)

cc = +9.14%; +8.23%
d = 4.9%; 5.04%
r = 20.74%; 20.69%

03+04/04/2020 (1 in 11/10)

cc = +7.86%; +7.61%
d = 5.22%; 5.35%
r = 20.81%; 20.61%

05+06/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +8.49%; +5.65%
d = 5.38%; 5.44%
r = 20.62% 20.43%

07+08/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +5.41%; +5.77%
d = 5.54%; 5.74%
r = 21.12%; 21.06%

09+10/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.66%; +7.32%
d = 5.96% 5.97%
r = 22.21%; 22.16%

11+12/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +5.66%; +4.45%
d = 6.05%; 6.12%
r = 22.17%; 22.74%

13/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.93%
d = 6.17%
r = 23.26%

https://www.anna.aero/2018/01/10/ryanair-seeks-uk-aoc-to-save-uk-eu-flights-spain-the-most-imp

Flights in to the UK from Hotspots

LHR

VS 207 Virgin Atlantic (HKG) Hong Kong 5:30 AM En Route
CX 251 Cathay Pacific (HKG) Hong Kong 5:40 AM En Route
AA 100 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:10 AM Scheduled
BA 294 British Airways (ORD) Chicago 6:50 AM En Route
AA 6194 ^ American Airlines (ORD) Chicago 6:50 AM En Route
AY 5534 ^ Finnair (ORD) Chicago 6:50 AM En Route
IB 7450 ^ Iberia (ORD) Chicago 6:50 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
AY 5514 ^ Finnair (JFK) New York 8:20 AM En Route
QR 11 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 9:05 AM En Route
BA 7009 ^ British Airways (DOH) Doha 9:05 AM En Route
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AF 6759 ^ Air France (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AM 7669 ^ Aeromexico (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
KL 4828 ^ KLM (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AZ 202 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 10:25 AM Scheduled
EW 9466 Eurowings (DUS) Dusseldorf 11:30 AM Scheduled
AC 6963 ^ Air Canada (DUS) Dusseldorf 11:30 AM Scheduled
QR 3 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 1:15 PM Scheduled
AF 1780 Air France (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
AM 6023 ^ Aeromexico (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
CZ 7037 ^ China Southern Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
DL 8324 ^ Delta Air Lines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
G3 5082 ^ Gol (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
MK 9414 ^ Air Mauritius (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
UU 8780 ^ Air Austral (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VN 3652 ^ Vietnam Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VS 6701 ^ Virgin Atlantic (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
BA 475 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
AA 6288 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
IB 7477 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
JL 7742 ^ JAL (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
MH 9701 ^ Malaysia Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 4:10 PM Scheduled
FB 851 Bulgaria Air (SOF) Sofia 4:45 PM Scheduled
PK 757 Pakistan International Airlines (LHE) Lahore 5:00 PM Scheduled
IB 3166 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8788 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7058 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7844 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7088 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
OB 5104 ^ BoA (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled
BA 481 British Airways (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
AA 6293 ^ American Airlines (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Scheduled
IB 7482 ^ Iberia (BCN) Barcelona 7:40 PM Schedule