Coronavirus summary update 12/03/2020

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11/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,698,416 (+5.66% from 10/04/2020)
Deaths = 102,764 (6.05%) (+6.84% from 10/04/2020)
Recovery = 376,677 (22.17%) (+5.73% from 10/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,218,975

Projected deaths = 73,747
Projected recovery = 270,246

Expected recovery rate = 646,923 (+5.67% from 10/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 176,511 (1 in 9) (+6.81% from 10/04/2020)

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12/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 1,777,666 (+4.45% from 11/04/2020)
Deaths = 108,867 (6.12%) (+5.6% from 11/04/2020)
Recovery = 404,372 (22.74%) (+6.84% from 11/04/2020)

Active cases = 1,264,427 (+3.59% from 11/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 77,382
Projected recovery = 287,530

Expected recovery rate = 691,902 (+6.5% from 11/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 186,249 (1 in 9) (+5.22% from 11/04/2020)

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UK Data

11/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 74,605 (+11.07% from 10/04/2020)
Deaths = 8,958 (12%) (+10.93% from 10/04/2020)
Recovery = 588 (0.78%) (+38.95% from 10/04/2020)

Active cases = 65,059 (11.56% from 10/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 7,807
Projected recovery = 25,340

Expected recovery rate = 1,180 (+43.3% from 10/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 16,765 (1 in 4) (+10.85% from 10/04/2020)

12/04/2020

Confirmed cases = 79,885 (+6.6% from 11/04/2020)
Deaths = 9,875 (12.36%) (+9.28% from 11/04/2020)
Recovery = 625 (0.78%) (+5.92% from 11/04/2020)

Active cases = 69,385 (+6.23% from 11/04/2020)

Projected deaths = 8,575
Projected recovery = 541

Expected recovery rate = 1,166 (-1.2% from 11/04/2020)
Expected deaths = 18,450 (1 in 4) (+9.13% from 11/04/2020)

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Comparing COVID-19 to the Seasonal Winter Flu

Comparing the seasonal flu to the COVID-19 virus death rate i.e. as of 11/04/2020 = 108,867 has shown that COVID-19 is still not even close to being as problematic as seasonal flu i.e. the COVID-19 virus death rate is 62.45% lower than 2019 seasonal flu deaths. And this is working from the lowest value i.e. 290,000 in the range. The range for seasonal flu being between 290,000 - 650,000 deaths every year from seasonal flu. However, taking the range between the two values i.e. 290,000 - 650,000 = 360,000 deaths EVERY YEAR then the mortality rate for COVID-19 in comparison to every season Winter flu drops to 69.75% below every SEASONAL WINTER FLU since 1935. And, if you calculate the percentage i.e. 646,000 deaths from Seasonal flu each year then the COVID-19 deaths pale in comparison i.e. 83.14% below Seasonal flu. So, it is not as big a problem as predicted.

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14 day summary

30+31/03/2020

cc = +8.11%; +8.05%
d = 4.69%; 4.79%
r = 21.03%; 21.10%

01+02/04/2020 (1 in 12)

cc = +9.14%; +8.23%
d = 4.9%; 5.04%
r = 20.74%; 20.69%

03+04/04/2020 (1 in 11/10)

cc = +7.86%; +7.61%
d = 5.22%; 5.35%
r = 20.81%; 20.61%

05+06/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +8.49%; +5.65%
d = 5.38%; 5.44%
r = 20.62% 20.43%

07+08/04/2020 (1 in 10)

cc = +5.41%; +5.77%
d = 5.54%; 5.74%
r = 21.12%; 21.06%

09+10/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +3.66%; +7.32%
d = 5.96% 5.97%
r = 22.21%; 22.16%

11+12/04/2020 (1 in 9)

cc = +5.66%; +4.45%
d = 6.05%; 6.12%
r = 22.17%; 22.74%

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Flights in to the UK from Hotspots

LHR

SQ 322 Singapore Airlines (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM Landed
FJ 5901 ^ Fiji Airways (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM Landed
SK 8042 ^ SAS (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM Landed
TP 8404 ^ TAP Air Portugal (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM Landed
VA 5558 ^ Virgin Australia (SIN) Singapore 5:55 AM Landed
AA 100 American Airlines (JFK) New York 6:10 AM Scheduled
AA 50 American Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
AY 5780 ^ Finnair (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
BA 1505 ^ British Airways (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
GF 6650 ^ Gulf Air (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
IB 4192 ^ Iberia (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
LY 8028 ^ El Al (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
MH 9414 ^ Malaysia Airlines (DFW) Dallas 6:55 AM Landed
ET 700 Ethiopian Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM Landed
AC 6023 ^ Air Canada (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM Landed
NH 5354 ^ ANA (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM Landed
TP 8984 ^ TAP Air Portugal (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM Landed
UA 7210 ^ United Airlines (ADD) Addis Ababa 7:00 AM Landed
QR 9 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 7:05 AM En Route
BA 114 British Airways (JFK) New York 8:20 AM Landed
VS 10 Virgin Atlantic (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AF 6759 ^ Air France (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
AM 7667 ^ Aeromexico (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
DL 4377 ^ Delta Air Lines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
KL 4828 ^ KLM (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
SQ 2510 ^ Singapore Airlines (JFK) New York 10:10 AM En Route
IB 3160 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
AA 8805 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
BA 7068 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
JL 7838 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 10:30 AM Scheduled
AZ 202 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 11:25 AM Scheduled
AF 1780 Air France (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
AM 6023 ^ Aeromexico (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
CZ 7037 ^ China Southern Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
DL 8324 ^ Delta Air Lines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
G3 5082 ^ Gol (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
MK 9414 ^ Air Mauritius (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
UU 8780 ^ Air Austral (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VN 3652 ^ Vietnam Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
VS 6701 ^ Virgin Atlantic (CDG) Paris 2:00 PM Scheduled
QR 7 Qatar Airways (DOH) Doha 2:10 PM En Route
BA 7007 ^ British Airways (DOH) Doha 2:10 PM En Route
BA 315 British Airways (CDG) Paris 2:30 PM Scheduled
MH 9669 ^ Malaysia Airlines (CDG) Paris 2:30 PM Scheduled
AZ 204 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
CZ 7365 ^ China Southern Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
FB 1705 ^ Bulgaria Air (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
HU 8667 ^ Hainan Airlines (FCO) Rome 4:05 PM Scheduled
IB 3166 Iberia (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AA 8788 ^ American Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
BA 7058 ^ British Airways (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
JL 7844 ^ JAL (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
LA 7088 ^ LATAM Airlines (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
OB 5104 ^ BoA (MAD) Madrid 5:15 PM Scheduled
AZ 208 Alitalia (FCO) Rome 7:10 PM Scheduled