Haircut一半夠未?

in #cn6 years ago (edited)

DATA  ON INTERNATIONAL RESERVES  FOREIGN CURRENCY LIQUIDITY.png

族長不想長詳分析,暫時噏住幾句及讓大家知道Repo的重要性和大鱷專業評估不會低估及做足功課有備以來,這份Report都不用甚麼深奧專業的知識都明白!好了!簡略:問過 D Accountant高手,教了幾招散手睇古惑嘢,其中一項是Footnotes和Memo items, 一看就知唔方好嘢啦 !(1)IV Memo items ; Swaps〈-1〉,族長斷估(正面的)是明知息口一定上的,所制定Hedge borrow Cost的合理舉動,但願如此;(d)項的Note 11、12及13是投機者最關心的數字,由於族長是nobody和outsider無法完全理解Full picture,不敢亂講,不過「攞命」擺出來的data算是穩健,四平八正,份嘢是8月底的,有參考價值的。

再睇Item 7和Item 9 II都知道死硬,做定大鱷D點心;而“Pledged assets included reserved assets”表面上是reverse repos的一部份,但連item 12 (1) (d)一同理解就有D鬼話(亂來的味道),加上沒有details難斷估,相信可以好大鑊的。特別是last的一句:These securities are not recognised on……

這份嘢是門面而設,向IMF及BIS交功課的,真料是港銀號的樓按portfolio和究竟有幾多間銀號靠repo來維生/吊命(operating)才是重點,支企銀號不會有真data,斷估無痛苦,haircut(in finance)8成都得架啦!因為當次按D債打包晒成securities trade funds,一爆就完蛋了!

chart3 HKMAPAYMENTSYSTEM _2018.png

唔知香港現時的實況是怎樣的?但鬼國則是核爆級,大家猜想,港共揸了幾多厘D核爆級筍嘢呢?最後睇chart 3──族長想問,整包嘢都凍過水,今次賭局主軸是新興市場嘛;問多一件,何解沒有日圓!?

Haircut一半唔知夠唔夠呢?!

Remark: haircut- (loan-to-value ratio)

footnote:
In finance, a haircut refers to the reduction applied to the value of an asset for the purpose of calculating the capital requirement, margin, and collateral level.

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