论马丁策略的本质

in #cn7 years ago

A.马丁策略的概念:

在下跌过程中,第一次下单1手, 第二次就2手,第三次4手,依次加倍。 第一次下单可能会判断错误,第二次也可能会,第三次?第四次?只需要一次像样的反弹,就可以把之前输的给赚回来!

嗯,听上去貌似有些道理,但是你也许没想到这一策略和赌场的加倍投注法有着极其相似的逻辑。

B.Dice 加倍投注玩法:

第一步:
押大,押注1个筹码。如果失败,继续下一步。如果成功,则重新开始。

第二步:
押大,押注2个筹码。如果失败,继续下一步。如果成功,则从第一步重新开始。

第三步:
押大,押注4个筹码。如果失败,继续下一步。如果成功,则从第一步重新开始。

......以此类推

笔者经过了很多测试,不得不说,这种赌法的成功的几率相对较高,特别适合节奏比较快的Dice类游戏。
仔细思考一下,这与当前期货市场的马丁策略有异曲同工之妙。

但是,你不得忽视一个客观的事实就是,长期来看,你最终还是会输的一干二净。因为赌场老板的秘籍里有一句古老的座右铭:

                       我们不要怕他们赢走我们多少钱,我们应该想法设法让他们继续玩下去。

那么,这句话是什么意思?

很明显啦,你继续玩下去,输光的肯定是你。

不要怀疑这一点,我已经测试过很多次了。

如果您觉得我说得还有点用,不妨给个赞,今天是第一天来Steemit,也算是第一帖,如果有机会,我会把自己知道的都毫无保留的告诉大家。无风险套利?搬砖套利?当然,你也可以说出想让我讲的话题!

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