Decision making

in busy •  4 months ago
Decision making is something we do every day without realizing it, but there are circumstances in which the importance of decision requires meditation, today I remembered a work I did in the university in which I studied decision-making, including the methods and techniques necessary for it, from a business point of view most decisions are important because they govern the course of the company. Today's article is focused on making decisions that even though you are not an entrepreneur I am sure you have the ability to be one, and we must make decisions every day and if we meditate on this content I am sure that we will always choose the best option.

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DECISION TREE

Decision Trees are a technique that allows you to analyze sequential decisions based on the use of results and associated probabilities. They can be used to generate expert systems, binary searches and game trees.
The advantages of a decision tree are:

  • It summarizes the starting examples, allowing the classification of new cases as long as there are no substantial modifications in the conditions under which the examples used for their construction were generated.
  • It facilitates the interpretation of the decision taken.
  • It provides a high degree of understanding of the knowledge used in decision making.
  • Explains the behavior regarding a certain decision task.
  • Reduces the number of independent variables.
  • It is a great tool for controlling business management.
    Decision trees are used in any decision making process, examples of which are given below:
  • Binary search.
  • Expert Systems
  • Game Trees
    Decision trees are generally binary, i.e. they have two options, although this does not mean that there cannot be trees of 3 or more options.

DECISION MAKING BY THE ADVISORY GROUP
Decision-making is the process by which a choice is made between the alternatives or ways to resolve different life situations, these can be presented in different contexts: at work, family, sentimental, business, etc., that is, at all times decisions are made, the difference between each of these is the process or the way in which they are reached. Decision-making basically consists of choosing an alternative from among those available, in order to solve a current or potential problem (even if no latent conflict is evident). Group decisions provide more complete information. There is some truth in the axiom that two heads think more than one. A group will provide a wide variety of experiences and perspectives to the decision-making process, which is not the case with an individual acting alone.
It is better in groups, as they generate more complete information and knowledge. By aggregating resources from diverse individuals, groups contribute more to the decision-making process, offering an increased diversity of views. This represents a greater opportunity to consider more methods and alternatives. The evidence indicates that a group will always outperform the best individual. In this way the groups generate high quality decisions.
Group decision making has many advantages and its resolutions can be very efficient, but these meetings must be managed by a true leader who can guide and control the judgments of other people, so that there is not so much opposition of ideas and can reach the desired goal.
One of the most obvious aspects of the crisis is serious emotional imbalance, with feelings of tiredness and exhaustion, feelings of helplessness, feelings of confusion, physical symptoms (palpitations, headaches, digestive disorders), anxiety, insomnia, disorganization of work functioning and in family and social relationships. When an individual feels that he or she is no longer able to cope with the situation, and feels that everything is going to end, as if there is nothing left to defend, it is when he or she requires the immediate help of the specialist or expert that will lead him or her to:

INTERVENTION IN CRISIS is the immediate and temporary, but active, entry into the situation of another person, or group, during a period of tension.
A crisis constitutes circumstances or situations that cannot be resolved by common resources to solve problems.

Uncertainty of the decision

Uncertainty is the condition in which an individual does not have the necessary information to assign probabilities to the results of alternative solutions. Decisions with uncertainty admit more than one possible outcome, for at least one of the alternatives, but the model does not include probabilities.
The set of results corresponding to each action has unknown probabilities, or they are meaningless because they are not repetitive facts.
If the probabilities are unknown, the case can be reduced to risk by experiment and observation, transforming the observed frequencies into a probability distribution.
If they do not make sense because they are not repetitive facts, they should be resolved with some criterion that reflects with a quantitative expression the subjective probability or degree of optimism. The management must make decisions with incomplete knowledge, through mental visions that cannot be quantitatively verified, although subjective probabilities can be assigned to the anticipated events, the resulting distribution of hopes cannot be established with objective certainty.

Routine decision

Routine decisions are standardized choices in response to relatively defined and known alternative problems and solutions. Employees often find a solution in established rules or standard operating procedures or, increasingly, in computer software, such as computerized airline reservation systems. Cleaning buildings, processing payroll receipts, packing and shipping customer orders, and conducting travel arrangements are just a few examples of tasks that require routine decisions.

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Thank you so much!

Congratulations! This post has been upvoted from the communal account, @minnowsupport, by jesusjacr from the Minnow Support Project. It's a witness project run by aggroed, ausbitbank, teamsteem, someguy123, neoxian, followbtcnews, and netuoso. The goal is to help Steemit grow by supporting Minnows. Please find us at the Peace, Abundance, and Liberty Network (PALnet) Discord Channel. It's a completely public and open space to all members of the Steemit community who voluntarily choose to be there.

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Excelente post @jesusjacr en tiempo de crisis la decisiones deben ser tomadas en frió y en conjunto con alguien de confianza, ya que la desesperación no puede llevar a una mala decisión ;) me gusto tu post muy completo saludos y un fuerte abrazo

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Me alegra mucho que te haya gustado. Gracias por tu comentario y por el fuerte abrazo!

Nuestra capacidad de tomar decisiones es la que nos "salva" en el buen sentido de la palabra. Creo que todos tenemos un sexto sentido que nos ayuda mucho cuando de tomar decisiones se trata, este sentido es la intuición.

Muy buen post, disfruté mucho leyéndolo.

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Muchas gracias. Es importante hacer un análisis de todos los datos antes de tomar decisiones, aquellas que debemos tomar de forma inmediata tal vez si requieren de intuición!!