The first day of the month. Always an important month to me. You always want to start the month with a profit, this just is a nice cushion and you will not feel the urge to chase losses!

7 games in the Premier League and 4 in the Jupiler Pro League. Let's see what I will think about them!

Like always let's start with the bigger competition of the two. Also the one in which most of you will be interested in.

There are still 4 teams with the maximum of the points (Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea and surprisingly Watford), at the bottom we still have one team which does need to gain their first point (West Ham).

Brighton vs Fulham

Side by side in the ranking, both with 3 points, and both 1 win and 2 losses. A very close game to call. The odds for a Brighton win are around 2.2. Last season they did win only 7 games are home, but most of these were against competitors like Fulham.

Fulham on the other side, only have played one away game this season. This resulted in a defeat against Tottenham with 3-1.

I do think that Brighton will win this game based on the home advantage.

I will bet on the Moneyline Brighton to win!

Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Another interesting game from a betting perspective. Crystal Palace stands on the 10th place with 3 points (1W, 2L), while Southampton is ranked a few places lower with only 1 point. That one point was from the first round with a draw against Burnley.

Last season Southampton did only win 3 away games, Palace did win 7 home games. But one of those 3 away wins from Southampon was against Crystal Palace with 0-1.

Here I am willing to for the Asian Handicap market, Crystal Palace -1 with odds just a little bit above 3. Much better than the ML odds, which are just below 2.

Everton vs Hudderfield

Well this game was also written down on my paper. It says over 2.5 because the odds are great. Everton did score twice in all 3 games so far (2-2, 2-1 and 2-2). Huddersfield already did have 9 goals against them, but to be fair they did play against Man City and Chelsea.

Last season, both fixtures did end in a 2-0 win for Everton. But I do think that more goals will be in this game than 2. The Lars does think that there is a possibility of 54% on an over, which reflects odds of 1.84, but the odds the bookies give are around 2.11.

So instead of betting on the winner, I will go for the value bet of the Over!

West Ham vs Wolves

It appears that this already a relegation game so early in the season. West Ham still need to gain their first points, while Wolves already have 2 draws.

I just cannot see West Ham loosing again! They didn't expect to come home with the 3 points from the trips to Liverpool and Arsenal. And there were leading the home game against Bournemouth with 1-0 before Bournemouth scored twice in 6 minutes time.

The Wolves did loose their only away game against Leicester with 2-0.

The asian line for a West Ham win are dropping which is always a good indication. But the odds moneyline for a West Ham win are good enough with 2.55! There is no use to take the gamble for West Ham -1. They will just be happy with their first win and will cement everything in their defense when they will get ahead, wishing the prevent what happened to them in their last home game!

West Ham will take their first 3 point with odds of 2.551!

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4 games in the Jupiler Pro League. on Friday evening Club Brugge won easily against Zulte Waregem. Putting pressure on Anderlecht and Genk, who do play on Sunday!

Eupen vs Standard

One would say that Standard should win this game with closed eyes. But they always did struggle in Eupen. Their last two visits, twice did result in a draw. But with Preudhomme in charge, I do expect them to win. Even better I do expect them to win with at least 2 goals.

Eupen did loose both their home games against Gent and Charleroi. Standard away record for this season is 1W and 1D.

Also for this game the Asian lines are dropping. Opening with Standard -0.75, moving towards -1 with even lower odds.

The Nyls does agree with this Analysis. So, Standard -1 it will be with odds on nitrogensports.eu of 2.013!

##Sint Truiden vs Oostende
Sint Truiden is still looking for their first win of the season, after 4 draws and one loss. Oostende is doing much better with 3W and 2 L.

But still I do give Sint Truiden an edge, based on the artificial grass they are playing on. Oostende wasn't capable of winning in Sint Truiden in the last 3 seasons, so why would they do this this time?
Okay, Verheyen as head coach is promising, but Brys does know how to defend and score on the counter attack.

Sint Truiden will win their first game of the season with odds of 1.95!

Lucky 15!!!!

Well something new, I am willing to try out. I will place a lucky 15 bet on the correct score of 4 games! This could change my complete game plan or will leak some money from my betting bank.

I will try this out for 5 weeks and see how it goes. If is loosing too many units, I will quit!
I will only place 0.1 unit per bet!

This week Correct Score Lucky 15 is:

My bets!

My bets

Date	Bet	Stake	Odds	Result	Bookie
Sep 1, 2018	Lucky15	1.5	??	Pending	Unibet
Sep 1, 2018	St Truiden	1	1.95	Pending	Unibet
Sep 1, 2018	Brighton	1	2.217	Pending	Nitrogensports.eu
Sep 1, 2018	Everton Over 2.5	1	2.113	Pending	Nitrogensports.eu
Sep 1, 2018	West Ham	1	2.555	Pending	Nitrogensports.eu
Sep 1, 2018	Standard -1	1	2.013	Pending	Nitrogensports.eu
Sep 1, 2018	Crystal Palace -1	1	3.074	Pending	Nitrogensports.eu

Good luck,
Peter

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