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RE: What's Ether Worth? A Probabilistic Valuation
Great write up. I know it's very difficult to valuate any of the block chains given that they don't operate in the traditional sense like stocks.
How did you come up with the probabilistic percentages?
I appreciate that! Much of the analysis here is trying to justify the percentages, but honestly its guesswork. For the DBAP, Ethereum is in an optimal position to stay the DBAP but its a challenging goal. For eGold, Ethereum wasn't designed explicitly for it, BTC has a big head start, etc so much lower probability.
Excellent attempt at valuation nonetheless. I really think the gas spend idea to be viewed as cash flow was perfect.