Kyle, you made some good points in that post.

"Big, non-SegWit blocks have miner support. Despite the 95% signaling for SegWit2x, there is still more than 40% signaling for Bitcoin Unlimited and emergent consensus."

This.^

BCC will have significant hashrate when it launches just because of the sheer amount of mining power in the hands of big-blockers. Secondly, I'm fairly confident that Antpool will divert a portion of their mining power away from Segwit2x to BCC after the fork occurs!!

I have a hard time believing that Jihan will keep mining 2x for the next 3 months with no guarantee of a 2MB HF and plenty of BS from core and Blockstream.