BITCOIN – Weekly Wrap-up and Long-Term Overview: March 18, 2018

in #bitcoin6 years ago (edited)

…Opening Comments

Please realize that I can be totally wrong in my estimation of where the market resides within its short and long-term structures. I’d like to think that my approach, adaptive as I believe it to be - (relative to the ongoing real-time price action,) - would make timely accommodations in framing such with relative real-time accuracy, accounting for all potential paths as the price-action unfolds.

However, all contingencies of such sort aside, I can still be wrong no matter how hard I may try to be right! Maybe I'm just crazy - but I may be right!

In addition to reviewing what occurred this past week, today’s long-term overview will also cover some ground relative to:

The Importance Of:

  • Maintaining proper Trendlines and Trend channels

  • Identifying basic chart patterns, and knowing what they may infer

  • Allowing the price-action to determine structure vs. one's bias

  • Recognizing the dominance of higher timeframes over market structure

  • Timeframes (four charts that cover the full spectrum)

    • Monthly Charts for the largest “secular view” of market structure

    • Weekly Charts for longer-term investment dynamics vs. hodl

    • Daily Charts to frame the “short-term” price action

    • Hourly Charts to get early clues of market intent

…Key Statement:

Given that the 7463 downside price target was recently captured (thank you very much), in concert with the rather robust snap-back rally that followed shortly thereafter, I am far “less bearish” than I was just a week ago!

Having said that, however, I continue to remain (short-term) bearish on balance - for a host of reasons. We are still not out of the woods with regard to the prospect of making another marginal series of new lower lows beneath that of the 7325.37 level! The 7250 level is one such target that continues to prevail, so long as 11,780 is able to hold as a standing pivot high of key import.

Short-TermBiasTargetSup1Sup2Res1Res2
@passion-groundLess Bearish7,2507,8427,3258,3668,585

Long -TermBiasLow 2018Target 2018
@passion-groundModerately Bullish5,92012,235 min / 37,419 max

…A Visual Review of Elliott’s NINE DEGREE’S of TREND

Degrees of Trend.png

Right Click and open in new tab to view full size image.

…Weekend Update & Review

BTC-Daily for 3-18-2018.PNG

Right Click and open in new tab to view full size image.

…Video Update

Select HD and “Full-Screen” for the utmost clarity in viewing this video update.

I trust that the preceding analysis was generally objective, explicitly actionable and informative, and of relative and meaningful value for all those who perceive such analysis as a backstop to their individual ends.

Until next time,

Peace, Love, and Justice for All

DISCLAIMER: This post and all of the analysis contained herein serves general information purposes only. I am not a registered financial adviser. The material in this post does not constitute any trading or investment advice whatsoever. The trend-following strategies explained herein are for example only, and should not be construed as trading or investment advice in any way. The same thing goes for anyone subscribing to the Long-Term Trend Monitor. The subscription simply shares with subscribers what several automated trend-following systems are doing, and that’s all. The bullish and bearish alerts provided therein are for information purposes only, and they are not to be construed as advice to buy or sell. At the time of this writing, the author does not hold any positions in BITCOIN or any other crypto-currency. Please conduct your own due diligence, and seek counsel from an accredited financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Should you decide to mirror or copy any investment or trading examples from this or any other related source, the decision to do so is entirely your own - as are the inherent risks involved in doing so. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post, you acknowledge and accept to never hold me accountable for any financial losses. Thank you.

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Educative and entertaining! I enjoyed this one. thansk man.

Thanks, man - glad you enjoyed it!

Hey @passion-ground.
This is unrelated to Bitcoin, but would it be OK if I covered 'You know it's me?'

Fuck yeah, brother! I'd love that more than anything! :-)

What are the chords on the turnarounds? I haven't been able to figure those out...

Let me know if this nails it... right click and open in a new tab to view full size... You Know It's Me.png

If not, I'll do what I can to get you the chord changes... I'm freakin' stoked that you're even considering this, brother!

Thanks @passion-ground! This will work for sure.
Those key changes were totally screwing with my head!
I've tried to play along with the youtube video, but always failed:)

Cool, man! Simple as they are, those transitions are a little trippy - but that's what makes it cool! Can't wait to hear your rendition, bro!

For future viewers: price of bitcoin at the moment of posting is 8249.00USD

Wow, you're fast, man! Thanks, bot-man!

i see your short term res1 & res2 targets were breached, tho by not much for res2 (and only briefly) does this change anything for you in the short term? you think a consolidation around the low 8ks then move to low 9ks in the books here within a few days? thx

Thanks for the question! Resistance and support levels are not targets per se, they are simply levels of short-term support and resistance - meaning that if the market reaches these levels there is a chance they may find support from falling too much further or resistance in rising too much above. Support and resistance levels are dynamic, meaning that they are broken in due course, especially so on intraday charts.

I hope that helped. I'll be doing another update this evening to note any and all changes. Thanks again!

yep my wording of 'target' was wrong, i am aware of the difference. thanks for the reply!

Preach it brother, not sure why you thought you pissed people off, but perhaps i'm unaware of something. Whatever man, love your content and perspective. Legend.

Thanks, @acrowin! Appreciated it, man!

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