Comparison of historic Bitcoin bubbles

in #bitcoin7 years ago (edited)

2017 was the year, when everybody from your grandma, neighbor, doctor, to used-car dealers, to your kids friends at school have bought cryptocurrencies, and in particular ripple/tron/bcash/bcc/etc because it’s “cheap” compared to Bitcoin, or it was recommended by a 17 year old on youtube.
Most of those selling now had been buying cryptocurrencies and tokens based on next to no good information.

All the new money has given us a bigger $/knowledge ratio than at end of 2016.
$ : knowledge = emotional (movements) : rational (movements)
The larger the $/knowledge ratio, the more likely a large downturn. Here we are now.
When the bear comes to kick their teeth in, people will go back and learn the basics, learn from their mistakes, price recovery starts, life moves on.

As comparison, this current drop (~70%) was not even the biggest in BTC history, see chart below:

BBs.jpg
Click on the image to view full screen!

chart By Kurzycz http://www.kurzy.cz/ (Own work, http://www.kurzy.cz/zpravy/440516) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

or in txt :
📉 - 94% 2011 $32 to $2
📉 - 36% June 2012 $7 to $4
📉 - 79% April 2013 $266 to $54
📉 - 87% January 2015 $1166 to $170
📉 - 40% September 2017 from $5000 to $2972

Good information on Bitcoin can be found here : https://lopp.net/bitcoin.html

Not good information can be found on bitcoin.com, thanks to bitcoin judas : Roger Ver and other big blockers or bcash fans, who are obsessed, that increasing the block size is THE solution.

solution.jpg

Sort:  

Exactly what i was looking for. Thank you

thanks for these analysis ! very wise and interesting !

thanks and welcome!

Bitcoin will be go more down in April... According to my analysis.

This year i think we will see $5000 to $50000, maybe multiple times, i am not even sure that we already saw the bottom of this dip... thanks for your comment!

thats really deeply analyze u have sharp on the bitcion thanxs for sharing with steemit family!

No worries, cheers.

Hello, you received a boost courtesy of @steemdunk! Steem Dunk is an automated curation platform that is easy and free for use by everyone. Need an instant boost? Send 0.200 SBD with your full post url as the memo to @steemdunk for an upvote. Join us at https://steemdunk.xyz

Upvote this comment to support the bot and increase your future rewards!

So true and interesting

Wonder what will happen with bitcoin the value has fallen very fast in short time, will there be a future for bitcoin or not?

Hi there, short term price actions does not matter, bitcoin is here to stay, if it will not be the money of the current generations, it will the money for the future generations. The fundamentals are unchanged, the technology behind bitcoin is looking better than ever.

Coin Marketplace

STEEM 0.18
TRX 0.16
JST 0.030
BTC 67706.36
ETH 2616.68
USDT 1.00
SBD 2.72