Bitcoin neural network analysis week 26/2019: More Volatility

Analysis of past week:
Last week was crazy, a massive move up followed by another move down. Now people are devastated, but when looking at the weekly scale not much happened. The network prediction was correct, even though it was a little too optimistic.

I am comparing three strategies, first hold fiat and make a small profit elsewhere, hold bitcoin, or follow the network predictions. Since I started documenting my predictions on the blockchain these strategies compare as

Fiat with a weekly profit of 0.5%: 16234.02$ (up 0.5 %)
Holding BTC: 10817.16$ (down 0.4 %)
Network strategy: 11624.99$ (down 0.4 %)
Starting capital: 11497.40$

The neural network has gotten a small edge above holding bitcoin or fiat. Fiat with 30% annual interest is still preferred.

Forecast:

Red areas are predicted below the current price, blue/yellow areas indicate the expected passive growth, green areas are better than the expected growth. The vertical line is one week into the future and its size provides the prediction variance. The network prediction is smooth as the random noise is filtered out.

The network predicts more price swings ahead and eventually stabilising above 10000$. Then we will see where we go from there.
Since the network is mildly optimistic for the coming week, the strategy remains to hold bitcoin over fiat.

This post is not financial advice! I am testing the potential to use neural networks for price predictions and am documenting my results on the blockchain to have provable public results. All prices are based on 0:00 UTC for consistency!