Bitcoin Hardfork on Aug 1st - My Trading Strategy

in #bitcoin7 years ago

Hello everyone,

There has been news by Jimmy Song that Bitcoin will hard fork on August 1st.

Basically, we will have the main chain Bitcoin (BTC) and an alternative chain called Bitcoin Cash (BCC). This fork is very real, and it's already listed on Coinmarketcap . However, the attitudes from medium-large exchanges are not very reassuring. Some exchanges have claimed that they will only support one chain. This means, if you have BTC in the exchange at the time of the fork, you will be given the coin in that specific chain only, whilst the exchange keeps the coins in all other chains.

I believe that everything will turn out to be just fine at the end of the day. However, I am very convinced that the fork will cause the price of BTC to drop significantly towards August 1st. This is not because of the fundamentals of the Fork, but rather due to the market perception of the BTC's increased insecurity.

So, my trading strategy this week is pretty simple.
Open 10% short at 2770, 20% short at 2820, 30% short at 2875 and 40% short at 2920.
Close 35% at 2.625k, 30% at 2.5k, and let the rest run until Aug 1st.

These prices are key supports and resistances. I won't be opening any stop loss this trade as I am very confident that the market will bear in the following week.

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Update: If you followed my strategy today, you would've shorted at 2780 with 10% of your portfolio, and closed at 2625, with a gain of $155/BTC.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/4yTgkl1M

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