You are viewing a single comment's thread from:
RE: Bayes' Theorem - How to Think Better
Interesting article! It is so easy to think it's 98% chanse when the test is 98% accurate. Big difference between 98% and 0.5%! I will apply to this the famous words "don't worry be happy!" And try to remember this way of thinking - thank you for making it clear with the example (1 in 201 chanse).
Once you do another test and it's positive too that's when you should start getting worried :P
Let us hope we never have to work out the odds after a second test!
Ha! Let's hope so.