Did @edicted Call The Bottom For STEEM?steemCreated with Sketch.

in #steemleo7 years ago

Where is the bottom?

This is a question that everyone in any financial market wants to know. Being able to time the bottom can make one very wealthy. Of course, that is a near impossible task. Markets rise and fall, often, without reason. They also tend to overshoot on both the top and the bottom.

At best this is an art as opposed to a science.

Nevertheless, that does not stop people from giving their best shot. We know that any asset class, unless it is going to zero, has a bottom. It is just a matter of finding it.

edicted.png

@edicted put out a post 4 days ago calling the potential bottom. There was a price target provided which, so far, looks to be spot on.

Here is what was written in the article.

Nope. Not really at all. My theory about Bitcoin is that it's 'secretly' doubling in value in a quite predictable manner. If we were to apply the same concept to Steem we should have fully expected to see a low essentially double the last one. We saw an all time low of 8 cents, perhaps we should have expected the next low to be 16 cents all along; everything going precisely to plan.

https://steempeak.com/steem/@edicted/steem-s-better-than-that

What a call. The posted expectation of a bottom should be 16 cents. I believe we dropped slightly below that before turning around.

So what is this all based upon?

It is the idea of higher lows. In the world of cryptocurrency, platforms tend to advance over time. Markets will operate on a whimsical basis but development is fairly consistent. Over time, a blockchain, if there is development, will get more valuable.

Contained in each ecosystem is a core group of people who dedicated to the project. Thus, they provide a built-in floor for the pricing action. There comes a point where those people simply cannot resist the pricing. They understand that a sale is taking place and take advantage of it.

If memory serves me, the 7-8 cent level was hit in March of 2017. Since that time, Steem has grown considerably. In terms of development, Steem is light years ahead of where it was at that time. The dedicated ones who are consistently using (or watching) Steem understand this.

Hence, we might have seen the point where they start to open up the buying window.

As stated, this is a theory that many apply to Bitcoin. Over the last decade, it is easy to see on a chart how Bitcoin keeps putting in higher lows. Each pullback is higher than the last one (keep in mind these are major pullbacks, have to look over a period of years).

Edicted applied the same mindset to STEEM. The view is that a doubling from the last time, since Steem is much more advanced, is the bottom from where the price dropped 30 months ago.

Obviously, a lot more is required to validate this call. It is possible that STEEM drops again and the bottom is not in. However, if you buy this theory, we could see a move upwards from here. Also, according to the second part of this, we should not see these levels (or the 20s) again after the bull takes off.

Markets are always fun. Perhaps Edicted is the one with the Midas Touch on this call.


If you found this article informative, please give an upvote and resteem.

image.png

image.png

Sort:  

Managed to buy just under .17, but wish I could afford to buy more. Got like 600 steem.

Posted using Partiko Android

That is always the case. When we nail a low number (or what we perceive to be) the thought is "I wish I bought more".

Of course, if it goes down after that, I ask "why didnt I hold off".

We always know what to do, in hindsight.

Posted using Partiko Android

I had similar thinking, except that it'd be triple the previous low, so in the low-mid 20s.

Awesome and if this happens 12 more times our low should be $1,310.72 according to this doubling estimation. (Not financial advice just a math calculation!)

If that would happen, you'd have to hold my blogging pen while I faint.

My current Steem collection (596.265 Steem) (568.353 Steem Power + 27.912 Steem) would worth $781 536 USD with that price.

Sounds like a nice slice of the pie there! 🤑

Posted using Partiko iOS

At about 2.5 years per doubling, that would mean we can expect that in 30 years.

Thanks for that math. That’s when I’m retirement age...

Woohoo hodling on for dear life!

Posted using Partiko iOS

Gosh, I was aiming at a buy order of 0.15 and don't know if I'll be able to buy then.

If it falls to 0.15 I'll make my first buy and become a dolphin.

The joys of trying to time markets. It is never easy. Sometimes you can nail a nice low price and, sometimes, holding out for a bit more can cost.

I got a bit just under 17 cents....now I look back I should have bought 1/3 more. LOL

Yeap, always hard, I might just make my purchase even if the price rises a bit more, I'll just wait until I'm positive it wont correct backwards one last time.

Still waiting for the flash crash

Posted using Partiko Android

That also puts Steem into an interesting perspective when we really do look at it long term. All anyone sees (and complains about) is the volatility, but most traditional investors would be happy with a stock or asset that doubled in 30 months. Looking at and comparing our present position to the brief highs brings out the pessimist in all of us!

Great point that I didnt consider.

We do get caught up in lambos and quick wealth but simple, long term investing principles would provide a different perspective.

Any asset that doubles every 30 months will create a lot of rich people.

We need to keep that in mind.

To listen to the audio version of this article click on the play image.

Brought to you by @tts. If you find it useful please consider upvoting this reply.

I hope this is the bottom.
Steem has been falling like a knife.

Posted using Partiko Android

it's hard to rem the .8 days lol

Only time will tell if that is the bottom. Hopefully that it is. With strengthening fundamentals and TA looking turning more bullish hopefully we will see more positive price action soon.

Coin Marketplace

STEEM 0.04
TRX 0.32
JST 0.082
BTC 60611.25
ETH 1557.26
USDT 1.00
SBD 0.50