March ’18 New Steemit User Report – Blockchain Business Intelligence

in #utopian-io6 years ago (edited)

At the beginning of every month I prepare a report containing details of new users for the previous month. I normally post this in the first 2 days of the month, but setting up the witness server has me a little behind. So delighted to be getting back to some data.

Aim of Analysis

The aim of this analysis is:

• Establish how many new users registered

• Establish what % of accounts have posts

• Find out who are the new big players in terms of SP

• See what accounts are acting suspiciously

• Establish if there is a break in any of the trends from previous periods

The Data-source and Query

As always to produce this report I connect to Steemsql (paid subscription services held and managed by @arcange ) with Power BI.
The SQL query used to gather the data for this report was

Select *
FROM Accounts (NOLOCK)
where   
( created >= CONVERT(datetime,'03/01/2018')
AND created< CONVERT(datetime,'04/01/2018')

Once I loaded the data into Power BI, I then carried out transformation and calculations using DAX language.

If you missed the full February ‘18’s report you can check it out here
https://steemit.com/utopian-io/@paulag/february-18-new-steemit-user-report-blockchain-business-intelligence

Overview

Feb ‘18 Overview

image.png

March ‘18 Overview

image.png

March seems to be another bumper month for new user registration. Jan 18 seen 159K new uses, Feb dropped to 73k and March jumped back up to 126K new users. That is an increase of 72% on February. It is worth keeping in mind that February only has 28 days, however the level of drop seen in Feb was greater than the average number of days new user registrations. It’s really good to see the number back up to about 100K new users a month.

In March ’17 there were 8,348 new account. March ’18 is therefore up 1409 % on the same period last year.

Just over 12% of new accounts completed their ‘about’ section in their profile and almost 6% have added a link to an external reference. Both of these values are down this month. In February 17% of new accounts added details to their about section. Why are these values of importance? Well I use these to assess potential the quality of the user. If they have come to Steemit to browse then chances are they may not complete these fields. However if they are experienced bloggers or have experience in social media marketing, then they know the importance of competing this information.

It has also been proven with other analysis, this metric for measuring the quality of the new user relates most to retention levels. It is therefore disappointing to see these values drop.

Posting Activity

The % of new accounts with posts was 31.8% down from 43.77%. I am not surprised with this as there seems to be a larger % of lessor quality accounts as mentioned above. The % of accounts with 10+ posts is 13.6%, again this value is down on previous months and I hope we see a rebound soon.

image.png

We can see from the pie chart above, 68.2%% of new accounts have not yet posted. 7.48% have made one post and 3.69% have made two posts. Looking at February values, March results are a little disappointing.

Strange Activity

There are very very few extraordinary accounts on Steemit that can push out multiple posts a day of high quality. From discussion with other experienced steemain and whales, account producing large volumes of comments or posts could very well be bots, scammers or plagiarists and the activity is deemed suspicious till otherwise cleared up.

Below are the new accounts from Feb that have suspicious activity. Tagging @steemcleaners and @cheetah to cross reference

image.png

I must add that I have not checked the integrity of these accounts or posts, I struggle to get 1 data post done a day and I know from talking with writers, good form content can take a number of hours to write and post. However it is also not unheard of for account to produce multiple good quality posts or comments a day.

New High Value SP Accounts set up in March

The table below shows the new Steemit Users sorted by Vesting Shares.

image.png

@madpuppy has about 170K SP. Both the recovery account and the witness proxy on this account is set to @grumpycat

@blockways has about 70K SP, most of which has been delegated for a fee.

@notar has about 50K SP, most of which has been delegated to @booster

@powerbank has about 50K SP also delegated to @booster

A big big welcome to all the new users that registered with Steemit in March ’18. If you did join in Macrh ’18 you might be interested in seeing how those are doing after a year on Steemit. You can read that report here

https://steemit.com/steemit/@paulag/if-you-joined-steemit-in-march-17-then

Conclusion

Marchs was an awesome month in terms of the number of new accounts registered on Steemit. However the report does not stop there and although the number of accounts was high, other stats are not so positive.

The quality of the new users seems to be below that of previous months and this is back up with the lower % actually making any post at all.

It is also disappointing to see the new accounts with the high SP are here to invest in bots. I wonder to myself are these really new accounts or are people trying to hid the fact they are investing in bots and using different accounts to do so with?

I am part of a Blockchain Business Intelligence community. We all post under the tag #BlockchainBI. If you have an analysis you would like carried out on Steemit or Blockchain data, please do contact me or any of the#BlockchainBI team and we will do our best to help you...

You can find #BlockchainBI on discord https://discordapp.com/invite/JN7Yv7j



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That is some massive growth. Does make you wonder how many of those accounts are not first-timers. I just always find It odd people go through the hassle of creating an account on sites that they then never use. I’m wondering what the wait time was between signing up for a new account and it is processed and created.

Part of me wonders if Steemit has grown enough in size and traffic that the corporate world has started to register names to some degree to at least reserve it and keep others from trying to pose as them. That is often an issue in social media when new things come out you really need to go out and claim your name on sites even if you never intend to use it. Just so some random joe is not taking it and using it in a suspect way or camping the name like a domain hoping to make a profit if you ever find yourself needing it.

While people like me could be proof that it is possible to have several “high” quality comments in a single day I hate to think the kind of comments these people are pushing out when they start to cross 100’s to 1000’s of comments a day. In a really active day, I could put out twenty to fifty "average" comments. Most weeks I believe I don’t even cross hundreds very often. Even that only a couple for that week had some decent effort put into them.

While it should not be of any shock people are investing there stake the way they are it is also disappointing. I guess we can be thankful people are least buying and holding SP for at least the short to medium term. This at least shows people see us as having or being undervalued enough to be buying up such large quantities of SP even if it is a bit suspect in the way they choose to use it.

Thank you for taking the time to create such a very nice and detail post like these. It gives great insight into what is going on for the site. It is always enjoyable reading how the sites growth is doing and what some of the more active “new” users have been up to.

hay and thanks for your comment - although you can put out 20-50 average comments, lets face it, there are few that do this. It might be worth me revisiting data on the average word count in comments.

You are also right about the name grabbing, although a quick look in the data doesn't really suggest too much of this going on

I have wondered what percentage of the new people who never comment/blog are voting? While I would hope someone new who is active is at least leaving comments. Not everyone on YouTube creates videos and at some point, we should be getting people who just enjoy the content but not engaging with it in other ways expect an upvote, follow, and maybe a restreem.

I have also run in on rare occasion people who only comment. Granted the biggest one I knew of just the other day I think made his/her first blog post.

While I would hate for this to create a bunch of extra work each month for you. I do wonder along with comment lengths if we are starting to get a group of people who are not content creators but rather content consumers.

Aww! @paulag, you must have dedicated a precious time to do this analysis... I have also tried to check how correct the figures are, and have found them to be really correct. Nice work dear. Steemit is really growing, but I wish it grows faster than this.

we need to grow with good quality users, there is no point in massive growth and crap content

Interesting but not very encouraging stats @paulag. This is the most disappointing for me:

It is also disappointing to see the new accounts with the high SP are here to invest in bots. I wonder to myself are these really new accounts or are people trying to hid the fact they are investing in bots and using different accounts to do so with?

I hope that yours and abh12345's efforts as a witness can help to start to spread a bit of a positive effect.

I read about that Whale Share tool this morning too that enables the community to easily downvote posts that have paid to get on the trending page. I will be interested to see what effect that has too.

Thanks for compiling these and have a wonder full day! 😊

I prefer to upvote what I like and focus on that. People buy upvotes through bots. People do all shorts of things to go after upvotes or whatever that they want. We can say that is fair or not fair. We can try our best to stop them, the bots, accounts, the upvotes. We can try to downvote them. We can develop Whale Share tools like you said in downvoting, in flagging, in stopping. And each of us has that choice perhaps in choosing to do that. I try myself, so far, just to focus on upvoting.

I've never flagged anyone yet either @joeyarnoldvn. Mostly because my SP is too precious to me! 😊

Understood. Agreed. Thanks. Keep smiling. Keep up the good work. We do what we can to upvote what we like. But we also want to speak up when we see bad people, spam, abuse, etc. If you see something, say something. I don't have a lot of SP either and SP is very precious indeed.

My speaking up takes the form of reporting spammers to Steemcleaners @joeyarnoldvn. That works well for me. An added bonus is you can earn a small payment for doing so. 😁

I didnt read that post yet, must go off and have a look

Here's the link to the tool @paulag. Unfortunately I don't have a link to the post that described it and the person doing the describing didn't add a link to the post itself either.

https://steemwhales.com/clean-trending/

Thanks for yet another useful report. I know this takes a lot of your time.

I think a lot of accounts might be registered to reserve the name for future use. At least one account I registered a couple of days ago :)

hehe this was mentioned earlier that people could be reserving names

Incredible work! You just amaze me and keep me interested throughout the whole post. I love all the analytics involved. Thank you so much for taking the time to deliver the maths. Steemit needs more members like you :) I do wonder about the new users and quality content though...

quality content is much harder to measure

Yeah, I wonder if there will be a tool developed to measure quality in Steemit posts.

People don't have to have an account to browse. But it is true some people seem to think they have to register, login, enter into Steemit, if they want to browse, mostly because some websites required that in the past to some extent. Facebook tries to get people to login to see content but you can actually see public posts on Facebook, YouTube, and Twitter, without logging into those websites, normally to some extent last time I checked, generally speaking with maybe some exceptions but that has been the case generally. But people will tend to sign up for websites in order to browse, as that is the tradition. So, I understand it but I think it is silly when people don't know how things work.

But happy to see Steemit grow. How many total accounts now, is it over a million users for the STEEM blockchain? Thanks for this report.

910K ....if we get another 90K this month we will have 1M users

Awesome. Thanks.

Hey @paulag I am @utopian-io. I have just upvoted you!

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Great insights @paulag. I had worked on PowerBI couple of months ago. I have a couple of hunches that I want to validate with data. So I am planning on opening PowerBI again. I am on a MAC and looks like there is no app for MAC. Do you do all your analysis on web version or a desktop version??

Also could you guide me to a good tutorial on DAX queries? Thought I have used Excel formulas and queries I think I need to brush up on my DAX.

oh dax....I love DAX, yes I can help

I use Desktop for all my analsis

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