Dlease experiment: the follow up!

in #busy5 years ago

Around 2 weeks ago I did start with a SP leasing experiment, to see if one could make a profit out of it or not. Last week I did write a post about how much power I did lease and what my curation rewards were at that time. This post can be found here:
https://steempeak.com/steem/@fullcoverbetting/leasing-steempower-the-curation-reward-experiment-smart-or-foolish

But I also promised a follow up post, and this one is the promised one! As one can expect I am making a loss on the leasing of SP.

The follow up!

Well in the last post I did lease 9700 SP and in the last week I did had an extra lease request filled of 1000 SP, bringing my total on 10700 SP.

Well first let's have a look again how my curation rewards were one week ago:

image.png

So nothing special for an account with 5K own SP.

This is how things are at the moment:
image.png
Looks a lot better, doesn't? Yesterday for the first time my daily curation rewards did go above 3 SP, but still that isn't enough to make a profit. Before I did start with the experiment I did earn around 1.2 SP per day with curating posts.

I did invest 208 Steem into this experiment and when I did sum up my daily costs it is costing me 5.011 steem per day!
But I also made some mistakes. The first leases I did request were only for 4 weeks, which is more costly than leasing SP for a longer period of time. Not that I could have saved some steem, because leasing for a longer period is more expensive but I could have had the leased power for a longer period of time with a lower daily cost, making it easier to come closer to a break even point!

The future

Also in that post I did look at the expected curation rewards for the next 7 days.
This is from the original post:
image.png
At the time I had an expected avergae daily curation reward income of 2.766.

This is the current one:
image.png

The total expectd curation rewards of 28.617 steem, represents an average of 4.088 SP per day.
So during the experiment I was able to increase my curation rewards with 2.96 SP day. But I am loosing 2.051 SP per day based on my investment.

But there also some positive effects. To start with I did change my voting strategy and was able to increase my efficiency to 58.88%, coming from 53.79%.
Also my upvote value did triple. Due to the fact that I am self voting my posts, this add an extra value on my posts of $0.06, so $0.03 per post after curation. Which is an extra income of 0.24 Steem per post. So let's say that I do write 50 posts during this experiment. 50 * 0.24 reflects 12 steem extra.
Bringing the loss around 1.5 steem per day!

But like the commercials say, giving a bigger upvote to some great post is priceless!
I still have one not filled in lease request and probably it will not be filled. But because I am loosing steem on it, I will not request new leases. The last leases will end on the 17th of February next year. Until then I will have some extra power. After that it is back to being a shrimp in the steem ocean!

Cheers,
Peter

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So even with 58% voting efficiency, you cant still go in positive.
Not very encouraging.
What would be the required eff to be in positive?

I would need to earn at least 6.14 SP per day with curating posts. If you really would fine tune the voting times I probably would be able to get to 4.5 to 5 SP per day. But this would also mean to stop upvoting posts with smaller values. And just upvotes the big posts in time with 100% of my VP. Not willing to do this!
So, I do think that one can make it profitable. Like I wrote my early leases were too short, increasing the daily costs. So wiht the right leasing approach the daily cost could be decreased with around 1 steem.
If I would combine both tactics, I could get break even or a smal profit.

!BEER

Cheers,
Peter

Thanks for all the BEER!

I think that the reward curve is also doing its part. If you go for a large amounts ... like 300k or 400k SP, than you will reach that limit and will go in linear .... so with those amount maybe it would be profitable with not as big voting eff ....

Now we need to find someone willing to test this out :)

I do know an account which has leased 95K SP. He is earning around 50 SP per day from curating.
But I have no clue how much he did invest in the leasing.
Also no idea how much he did earn before the leasing.Probably around the SP I am earning today.



Hey @dalz, here is a little bit of BEER from @fullcoverbetting for you. Enjoy it!

Interesting, keep informing us about your findings!

I will 2 more weeks. I do think that if you do lease enough and only lease for longer periods combined with only voting on the right posts I could be profitable.
!BEER



Hey @toofasteddie, here is a little bit of BEER from @fullcoverbetting for you. Enjoy it!

Hey maybe your efforts are helping increase the price of Steem. Keep up the good work. You are one of the few people I have seen say you do not upvote just to get the best reward. You are doing the right thing upvoting what you think is worthy. Use the downvotes and you might break even. I feel like the self upvote is a waste tho. Good luck and keep us posted.

Hi @fullcoverbetting!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 4.348 which ranks you at #2658 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has not changed in the last three days.

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 93 contributions, your post is ranked at #54.

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