bumblecat (78)in #split • yesterdaySplit Ticket's odds as of October 5th.Their model has a 30% chance Harris wins Florida. The range of uncertainty includes a Harris landslide that could…bumblecat (78)in #government • 2 days agoMilei has many weird takes but this one is spot on.The fact that this needs to be stated reveals how large government has become and that the socialist education pushed…bumblecat (78)in #immigration • 3 days agoImmigration and economy.The establishment survey which is what reports the job numbers doesn't track if workers are native born or foreign…bumblecat (78)in #population • 4 days agoPopulation decline.Useful guide to population decline for different fertility rates: TFR of 1.1 (e.g. Poland, Japan) results in almost…bumblecat (78)in #economy • 5 days agoHere's what initial claims look like.They are a leading indicator for unemployment. The September jobs report is tomorrow. Expectations are for about…bumblecat (78)in #port • 6 days agoThe strikes are immoral.Post-COVID, we've seen the affects of supply chain disruptions, especially on prices for everyone, recently, and it's…bumblecat (78)in #cook • 7 days agoNew Cook Political Report polling of the swing states.The North Carolina gubernatorial election is entering blowout territory. Stein up 24 points. Also Nevada and Arizona…bumblecat (78)in #alaska • 8 days agoSecond high quality non-partisan poll of Alaska of the Harris/Trump matchup.Trump by 9 points. Alaska uses ranked choice voting for the presidential election and a candidate has to get at…bumblecat (78)in #music • 9 days agoSwift is a mediocre singer.Hot take that is certain to get me into trouble. Note that this is not a political post. Taylor Swift may be a great…bumblecat (78)in #comedy • 9 days agoSNL was a little underwhelming.Though Maya Rudolph's Kamala and James Austin Johnson's Trump are always spot on. And Dana Carvey as Biden was a…bumblecat (78)in #times • 10 days agoNew Times/Siena polling of Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Nebraska's second district.Harris leads by 1 point in Michigan. Trump leads by only 6 points in Ohio (Trump won the state by 8 in 2020).…bumblecat (78)in #mark • 11 days agoTrump cannot escape the Robinson.When Trump won't be seen with you anymore, so you campaign next to cardboard cutouts of Trump and Melania instead.…bumblecat (78)in #christian • 12 days agoBetter at science.An hour ago I was engaged in a conversation wherein a Christian man declared he is superior to women and has dominion…bumblecat (78)in #kamala • 12 days agoKamala Harris released a policy brief on her anti-price gouging proposal.She cited the Texas, North Carolina, New York, and Florida anti-price gouging laws as examples of what she wants to do…bumblecat (78)in #norc • 13 days agoNORC survey of Asian American voters, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders conducted before the debate.NORC survey of Asian American voters, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders conducted before the debate. Harris…bumblecat (78)in #rufo • 14 days agoI don't know why people take these individuals seriously.Chris Rufo explicitly said he was being bad faith years ago for politically strategic purposes to attack the Left.…bumblecat (78)in #kemp • 15 days agoBrian Kemp withdrew his endorsement of Mark Robinson.I think I really need to stress to people how insane Mark Robinson was before the recent scandal. This is a dude…bumblecat (78)in #polling • 16 days agoA reader asked Nate Silver if the polls will underestimate Trump.He answered that we have no way of knowing ahead of time. Poll bias is not consistent across elections. And this is…bumblecat (78)in #trump • 17 days agoMission to Mars?Donald Trump would like you to know that if you vote for him, he and Musk will launch a manned mission to Mars in the…bumblecat (78)in #health • 17 days agoFlu activity.Flu activity is still low. Flu season typically starts in October or November. Now is the perfect time to go and get…