You are viewing a single comment's thread from:

RE: Thoughts on trading analysis and signals

in #trading7 years ago

Yes, regulation can stop a lot of unqualified financial advisors - just like those pump groups/channels/tweets etc...
But - as I have written in another comment (sorry for copy-and-paste of this 5 lines list..) we are trying to analyze a market featured by:

  • No possibility of fundamental analysis (you don't have any form of financial statement)
  • No possibility of market analysis (you are thinking to a new product with new tecnology, you cannot evaluate the potential real market for a token)
  • Small market cap with a lot of whales that control price
  • A lot of weak hands and new traders that are usually trend-follower, increasing price spikes

Prices are ruled, even more than in traditional and regulated markets, by psychologycal factors. so, as you perfectly said, "anyone with a huge following can now make a coin go up or down with their expert analysis". In traditional and regulated market, volatility is controlled also by two other factors:

  • Investors can diversify, so there is less volatility because big operators have a more stable market portfolio that allows them to HODL and reduce risks. This is impossible in crypto markets because diversification, in a short - medium term, is unuseful: Bitcoin goes down? China Bans? Great exchanges are banned? All crypto falls, because bitcoin is the real market maker of all the market - so all crypto follow bitcoin
  • Crypto markets was born with small capitalizations. Early adopters have mined even hundred of thousands of bitcoin and/or easiliy bought altcoin in ICOs, years ago, when in a lot of cases prices that were 1/1000 of current prices (Ethereum at 2$ and for a long period under 1$ is the best example of easy accumulation). So, there are huge whales.

In traditional market volumes are controlled by with hyper-tecnologic actors like High Frequency Traders https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/high-frequency-trading.asp that can destroy markets for fractions of seconds but don't create a panic sell/panic buy (too fast, they only kill stop loss users). And in every case regulators - unless, as everytime happens, they are colluded - have the tecnologycal analysis tools and the lawful attributions to interview.

So yes, by this point of view we need of a stron regulation. Think also to all scammed users that now have left the market because there were no law and none kind of legal guarantee..

Coin Marketplace

STEEM 0.20
TRX 0.16
JST 0.030
BTC 65853.52
ETH 2697.93
USDT 1.00
SBD 2.86