Expected Value of Steem Monsters Daily Quests [1]

in steemmonsters •  19 days ago

Hey guys! Since all the rewards cards have been released for a while now, the market is starting to settle down a bit. I've decided to start this series of posting the expected value of Steem Monsters Daily Quests!

How it Was Calculated

Before calculating, I had to use the assumpion that you can sell your card at the lowest price per BCX. The drop rates used were from @yabapmatt so we know that it's accurate.
image.png

Firstly, I calculated the average cost of cards per rarity, then I multiplied it by the chance of it being opened. I added these up for all the rarities and then we have the expected value of each reward card earned. After that, I just had to simply multiply that value by how many cards you earn from each rank!

Today's Data

The data is sorted in rarity, from lowest to highest. Then the average value of each rarity is calculated, which is multiplied by its chance to drop. This is all then added together to form the expected value of each reward card.
image.png

Today's Average Value: $0.0941

I don't have the current daily quest rewards per tier available on me right now, but when I do I'll make a table for that as well! I just remember that champion 1 is 30 cards and gold 2 is 7 cards.

If you are in gold 2, you can expect to earn $0.6587 per day from quests.


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Thanks for calculating the data. I think the rewards doesn't sound so bad for gold League II...since a lot of players manage to get there with a lvl 4 Summoner deck.
It would be nice to calculate the cost of a lvl 4 summoner deck and than calculate the ROI for the daily rewards.

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That was my plan! But I think I'll begin with calculating the ROI for a max level alpha deck since that's what I'm trying to sell right now haha

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