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I see it as a fixed price pool that can be earned. The more post gets upvoted the more the money gets distributed. It that a correct analysis?

part you are missing is when there is redistribution after distribution. For example this post getting about $38 now, but if upvotes stop and it doesn't stat interesting, part of this reward will be redistributing to popular posts. By the time of payout this will decrease to about 20-25.

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