Don't sweat the lack of unicorns, sweat the presence of hungry raptors

in #sportsteem6 years ago

Porzingis is out for the rest of the season; yet, for this next game (to borrow a phrase from Meatballs' Tripper) it JUST... DOESN'T MATTER...

Take the Raptors moneyline, it's awful, you won't make enough to pay for the lightbulb behind your computer screen, but in the word of Doug Pederson "winning begets more winning", so do it anyway.

Reasons to put money down on Toronto: we recommend 3.0% AUM bet, which seems like a lot but this is a heavy favorite

#1 Dwayne Casey hates losing, to anyone, for any reason, ESPECIALLY AT HOME
Casey's win% goes like this for the last 6 years: .348, .415, .585, .598, .683, .622
Does this look like a guy who "throws games" or isn't focused?

#2 Toronto is WAY better than any healthy team NY could assemble from their current roster, AND they are playing at home where they are 22-4, and at full health.

#3 HOME: see above, home isn't a factor when there's a line, but this is a moneyline bet

#4 Big Man deficit: Toronto has two FANTASTIC big men in Valiciunas and backup Jakob Poeltl, whereas NY is missing Kanter and Porzingis and inserting poor subsitutes in Michael Beasley and ... and.... and... Johnny O'Bryant? Honestly we don't even know who they are going to put in there in the frontcourt. It's a mess, and even if NY figures it out, it's not going to happen tonite.

#5 Bank on the Tank: NY has EVERY incentive to lose the rest of their games, so if they surprise everyone and get a lead, expect the Knicks to insert fans from the 3rd row back to grab minutes.

Reasons we may be wrong

A. Sports is sometimes rigged, and New York is a big city. Actually, if you were going to rig a game, rig OTHER Knicks games bc Knicks fans will prolly STILL default to throwing a little down on their hometown longshot.

B. Kyle O'Quinn is an absolute beast, and Beasley might actually be more of a net positive than Porzingis in certain circles. I know, crazy right, but might be true. Porzingis defense is all flash (blocks for highlights) and not much substance, he spends too much energy on the o-side.

Good look Steemians!

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Your prediction's now tracked! *** Toronto Raptors ML (1.08) @ Unibet ***

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