Could There Be An Anti Robot Revolution?
I've always been a believer that a solid work ethic will get you far. Sure, you may not become filthy rich but you'll more than likely have what you need and a little more. I've always been content with that. Lately, I've been rethinking the solid work ethic concept.
No, this isn't a "the man is holding me down" rant post. It's a story post about robot machines and their effect on humanity.
A few years ago when I started to delve deeper into the blockchain I discovered Grantcoin. Grant Coin introduced the concept of Universal Basic Income(UBI) to me. I was unsure of this concept because I'm not about handouts. There is a sense of pride when you earn your own living. I like to be open minded so I kept studying it more. The more I began to understand the arguments behind UBI I began to understand it's not about handouts so, a few months ago I added Scott Santens to my twitter feed. He's a big advocate for UBI and always has interesting arguments for why we need it and he surely tweets about it!
Today's Tweet
There's a 10% chance of AI outperforming us in ALL tasks within 9 years. We need #basicincome ASAFP. https://t.co/lRzY8rhC10 @LeeCamp
Scott Santens (@scottsantens) June 12, 2017
Today's tweet made me do a double take and my head started spinning about the implications of it.
Source:Giphy
It's not news to me that machine robots and Artificial Intelligence are being developed to replace human employment. However, I've always been of the mind that a robot replacing a human creates another task that needs to be accomplished by a human, so it's never bothered me. For example, who is going to fix or program the robot taking over a human's job?
But did you notice the tweet? It says all tasks.
Secondly, I figured it would be years down the road before human tasks started to deplete human jobs. However, the Oxford Study/Yale Study Scott Santens is referring to estimates "there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years". The study also lists different percentile ranges in regard to years of when outperformance and automation could possibly occur, hence the 10% chance statistic given in the above tweet. Even a 10% chances of this "robot revolution" happening within 9 years is concerning.
Could you imagine a 10% percent chance of hitting the Lottery? The lottery system would be bankrupt!
Source:NH Lottery
Source:When Will AI Exceed Human Performance
I was telling my wife about this study and I asked her "Guess who did the study?". She has the quirkiest sense of humor and responded "Rage Against the Machine?".
Her answer made me laugh, but it got me thinking. What if machines did start to massively overtake jobs currently accomplished by humans? How would the average human respond? Would there be a revolt? Would there be a new business sector with the stamp "FOR HUMANS BY HUMANS"? The questions went on and on in my head.
My mind eventually landed back to Universal Basic Income. Is this where the world is heading? Will we have no choice? Will it be a Living Income or a Poverty Income? If Businesses are decreasing their operating expenses and labor tax decreases where would the tax revenue for a Universal Basic Income derive from?
Would you accept leaving a job you love?
Would you accept a UBI not up to your living standard, if that was the only option?
Or would you Rage Against the Machine?
END POST
Source:ibtimes
Source: MSN
Source: Business Insider
Source:Star Tribune
Source:CNBC
Last, but not least...
Source: YouTube
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Very fascinating! I also like to wonder what if.. Read my first real post if you feel like it :D
I will check it out @machine-master!
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Robots have no emotions That's what we really need to understand. But there is still plenty of room for other new jobs: technician, designer, software dev, stylist.... Maybe you have ideas for new jobs? :)
I understand robots have no emotions. That is one of the main reasons why businesses want to employ robots...less emotion=more efficiency. However, the study states *all human tasks will in the future be accomplished by robots. In regard to the jobs you listed. There are robots that currently fix other robots, fix cars, build buildings. There are robot hair stylists. There are robots that currently design software. There are even robots that sew clothes and look at past fashion and use analytics to identify new trends. With the furtherment of Artificial Intelligence; robots will be able to learn from past mistakes and learn at a pace that humans will never be able to accomplish. With the greed of many businesses, we know from the past that robots will more than likely replace human jobs in the name of profit. There will still be human jobs for businesses that can manage to survive without automation. The question is; for how long?
Interesting..upvoted and following
Thanks for the upvote and follow @pinklotus! It's greatly appreciated!