3 assumptions on the current moves of North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un
Within 5 or 6 days, North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un and Moon Jae-in the president of South Korea are going to meet at the DMZ(demilitarize ), which has divided this two country. Three Experts are saying that Kim is trying hard to overcome his weakness, which leads to table discussion even Kim dosen’t want to.
Economy of North Korea facing the Rock. According to 1st expert, William Brown( adjunct professor at Georgetown school of foreign service), Kim moving forward because of losing exports down to 95% and imports on machinery, cereals, petroleum, vehicles dropped to one third(this data China wants to show the world). After Korean War, North Korea is facing the weakest foreign trade, which makes it hard to control domestic credit and inflation. Kim shows his smart decision to go to the table.
Leverage and Strength to Kim came from Nuclear Weapon. The second expert, Jean H. Lee( director Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy) mentioned that over careful skill and well planned political science(the trump card is Nuclear Weapons) is the part of Kim Jong Un leadership(brought threat to the global security) can win from the summit with South Korea’s President Moon Jae-in and later from the President of U.S.A.(which is the first time for any North Korea’s Leader in their history).
To avoid WAR Kim is playing with Time. The third expert (Adam Mount, Senior Fellow and Director, Defense Posture Project, Federation of American Scientists) saying that Kim has several paths to win from this two summits from Moon and Trump. According to Adam Mount, Kim Jong Un has calculated the outcomes of destroying these countries (South Korea, Japan and U.S.A.) will cause him lost control on the country and even a solid unavoidable death. He (the scientist Adam Mount) also saying that Kim may decide to decrease the tests of nuclear and missile program can get the victory from this current crisis.