NFL PLAYOFFS DAY 2 🏈💰

After yesterday my bankroll improved to "15.7".

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You can quickly view yesterday's post to see what that means. (Basically it's like a random number to represent the +/- of my bankroll without saying what amounts I'm betting.)

Btw, while we're on the topic of gambling, please remember to never play MagicDice.

It's toxic.

The Colts won easy, and the Seahawks lost and should have made it a losing day for me.

But the unexpected happened.

Their old man kicker pulled a leg muscle whilst trying a 57-yard attempt.

And their emergency kicker does an Australian rules drop kick and allegedly sucked in practice attempts and they didn't trust him, so they went for 2 instead of kicking extra points, and after a late touchdown and 2-point conversion I covered my +2.5 and +3.5 bets to essentially break even on the game.

¯\ _(ツ) _/¯

I don't make this stuff up, I just roll with what happens.

It sounds result-oriented to say it now, but using old man kickers has to be a mistake. I was thinking about that during the Colts game actually, that 46-year-old Adam Vinatieri can't actually be the most viable kicker option, except that they overrate "clutch".

The Colts, I think, actually carry another kicker for kickoffs and longer field goals. So they're protected from the random hamstring pull. But then it's a question of if Adam's "clutchness" is really worth a roster spot.

I wonder if this injury situation is gonna be a result-oriented way to make teams rethink their older kickers.

Older QB makes sense. An older QB's mental game can have a lot of upside.

And I think team's mistakenly view it as like "well, a kicker isn't really an athlete anyways".

But no, this is wrong. Bad kicker strategy.

Kicking the football is literally a mechanical process.

Surprisingly, when you stop and think about it, I'm fairly sure it's the position where experience should matter least. And maybe their athletic prime extends into like mid- or even late-30s. Longer than other positions. But once they pass that, whatever exactly the window is, it's the position where there has to be a better option.

It's the position where you should least consider people who are beyond their physical window. Whereas even running back, while mostly physical, has some room for a player's experience to help and potentially make them viable for longer.

And being more likely to get injured is one of the permutations (probably the biggest one) of how the oldness can haunt you.

I'll take a 29-year-old who hasn't necessarily made "clutch kicks", "in the biggest spotlight".

You can have the old guy.

Anyways..

Today I have:

a wimpy total of "0.8" on the Chargers. I'm weird and spread it out to different amounts (0.3 on moneyline, 0.125 on +2.5, 0.125 on +3.5, and 0.25 on +4.5)

and a strong "4" on the Bears moneyline 😱😱

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I'd like to see Philip Rivers win and make a Super Bowl run. But I think they'd be a much worse draw for the darling Patriots next week. So meh.

How unlucky if you're the Chargers. One of the best teams in the league, and you get the 5 seed and have to go on the road against a hot team and then to Foxboro if you win, lol.

Update:

Fuck.

Vinatieri wouldn't have missed that kick.