BTC - Bitcoin now likely to see 200% returns within the next 6 monthssteemCreated with Sketch.

in #bitcoin3 years ago (edited)

The gains are likely just getting started for ol Bitcoin

Bitcoin did something the other day that likely means even more good things are on the way.

I touched on it briefly in a post yesterday, which can be seen here:

What might this good thing be you may be wondering?

Well, bitcoin broke back above its 200 day moving average for the first time in the last few months and only the 3rd time in the last 15+ months.

As Tom Lee pointed out, that is likely very good news for the next 6 months...

Historically, when bitcoin breaks above its 200 day moving average, it returns just under 200%, or about 3 times its current price.

Which is why some were quoting Tom Lee as saying that bitcoin will hit $27k within the next 6 months.


But wait, didn't bitcoin just break the 200 day moving average late last year and nothing came of it?

Yep, that is correct.

Bitcoin also briefly broke above its 200 day moving average late last year when it rallied from around $7k all the way up to $9.5k in a matter of a few days.

However, breaking the 200 MA proved to be short lived and the price basically fell ever since until the most recent rally.

So, that means that breaking the 200 day moving average to the upside doesn't ALWAYS mean 200% gains, though it's pretty close.

According to data compiled by Fundstrat Global Advisors and Tom Lee, bitcoin has an 80% win rate when it breaks the 200 day moving average and averages just under 200% returns.

That means, yes it fails sometimes, like we saw late last year, but on average it sees big returns 8 out of 10 times based on historical data.

Which means...

The odds that this one plays out hugely positive is probably even higher now that the last one failed.

The next 6 months should be very fun for bitcoin investors.

There will be dips along the way, but we have very good historical evidence that bitcoin is likely to see major returns over the next half year.

Stay informed my friends.



We gonna see a major dip first.

Are you referring to the post halving dip?

No before halving.
I think the bull market will come somewhere in March.

Why do you think that?

Bitcoin always does the opposite of what people think it will happen.
Its possible we could even see bitcoin dumpimg in the 3k region in May.

Anything is possible, I won't be waiting for that though. The more likely scenario is a run up to at least $12k (probably even higher) and then a several month pull back post halving that takes prices back to $8kish or $10k depending on how the pre-halving run was, and then the blow off top euphoric rally starts from that level... and eventually peaks in mid to late 2021 well above previous highs.

To be honest, your scenario seems realistic.
We will see what happens :)

No before halving.
I think the bull market will
Come somewhere in March.

                 - amahovac93

I'm a bot. I detect haiku.

I think that the last close means even more good things are on the way

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I think that coold be very correct! Let’s Steem goes in that sa
Me flow! !trdo

Yes, that would be nice for sure. A higher steem price solves a lot of problems.

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