How long do you have to hold Bitcoin to make a 100% sure profit?

in #bitcoin5 years ago

According to analysis of BitcoinEconomics.io, it is 1335 days or 3 years and 8 months.

"To make a 75% certain profit with Bitcoin, you have to hold it for 317 days. That is close to the average bear market length. 827 days for 95% certainty.
For a 100% sure profit with the S&P 500, you have to hold it 23 years. Bitcoin's 3.65 years is very low in comparison.

The 3.65 years for 100% profit probability are close to 4 year halving periods and a 4 year cycle length."

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