8 days left till Segwit 2x, so technically, volumes suppose to go lower and lower, towards the deadline. As some people will cash out or will be waiting.
I higly agree with those people who predict 5.5k-6k BTC pullback, that Bitcoin need some time "to grow up". Only two factors can do the opposite effect: mass media keeps spreading the word about BTC + Wall Street is starting to show interest in BTC.... so "fresh money" is coming and will be coming to BTC.

I agree with your technical analysis, but remember this is very new field (cryptos) so very hard to draw precise charts, and to guess if they would be correct.