关于比特币预测的模型...

in #wherein5 years ago

关于比特币预测的模型论文很多,各种预测结论也很多。有人喊五年内归零,有人喊2020百万刀。

因为自己也是囤比特币的,自然也是对各路预测感兴趣。

今天看到一个预测,分享给你。

关于模型论证,长篇大论,各种专业词汇也是不懂。直接看结论吧。根据那篇文章的长篇大论分析,最后得到结论:

预计2021年之前币价不会达到10万美元,但到2028年币价也不会低于10万美元。此外,2028年之前,价格不会达到100万美元,但2037年之后,价格也不会低于这个水平。

如果这个预测靠谱,也就你需要拿住比特币是9年到2028甚至拿住18年到2037年。

时间可能是你的朋友,对于30岁出头,我能有的优势或许就是用时间去博价值。

来自于 [WhereIn Android] (http://www.wherein.io)

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太保守了,咋不到千万刀呢!

那你该梭哈

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作为一名二十几年外汇炒家的我,看到预测图都想吐的感觉,第一件事就是直接下意识的断定了论文发表者将过去的历史直接使用曲线拟合模式 curve fit 来预测未来。
https://ww2.mathworks.cn/help/curvefit/curve-fitting.html

人是需要希望来存活的,更何况是比特币这“虚拟”的东西,要不靠希望根本不能“拿住” hodl

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老司机!

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