Monero (XMR) Price Analysis: Things Starting to Get Ugly

Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. The author is not a financial advisor and this article was not paid for.

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Foreword

We haven’t really covered Monero yet, so its worth giving this project a look to see how things are going on over there.

Monero Price Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/t3j9O7bv/

As with most (damn near all), privacy-based cryptocurrencies, it’s been taking a beating over the last few days.

Specifically, in Monero’s case, it has lost 39.60% of its USD value in the last 3-weeks alone.

Things haven’t been as bad on the $BTC pairing, but it’s still pretty bad when considering how much $BTC has depreciated itself against USD during the same time span.

Let’s move back to the USD view though.

From what we saw in the first picture, it’s worth noting that:

1. The price is at the bottom of Bollinger’s Bands (expanded).
2. The RSI is heavily oversold.
3. Almost three weeks of consecutive daily losses (red candles)

So, to say that things are ugly might even be a bit of an understatement.

Scrolled Out View of the Daily Chart

When you scroll out the 1D chart on $XMR/USD, it becomes apparent that $85 is probably the most likely long-term support that $XMR will have if it continues to depreciate against USD the way it has over the last few weeks.

If it breaks through this point, then the price could head into a serious freefall.

This is something that $XMR (Monero) holders and traders should remain cognizant of as they are investing in this cryptocurrency.

Let’s Look at Monero On the 4H TimeFrame

This will help us detect whether there are any viable scalping opportunities or not on the protocol.

Max Upside From What I’m Seeing = +10%

https://www.tradingview.com/x/y8kV3f4o/

This is the bigger picture view of what’s been occurring with the price action for $XMR:

RSI and Price Action appear to indicate that price is definitely on its way down.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/USYIzInG/

Conclusion

Until $XMR reaches that long-term support that we mentioned on the USD chart, it’s probably safe to write this one off for the time being.

If there are any means for shorting $XMR, I would take complete and full advantage of them (I’m not sure how viable of an option this is ever since Bitfinex got rid of those options).

Thus, it might be best to refrain from placing any long positions in $XMR for the time being.