Is the danger of "brush off the gun and go wrong" between China and the United States in the Taiwan Strait?
Sun Taiyi, assistant professor of Christopher Newport University in the United States, said in an interview with the global times that both the Democratic Party and the Republican party want to improve the US Taiwan relations, which is also the common position of the White House and the house of Representatives.
However, Anthony brinkin, Biden's diplomatic adviser and a strong contender for the future Biden administration's Chinese secretary of state, told the media in May that he would adopt a "balanced strategy" to deal with cross-strait relations. This strategy will not be "pro Taiwan" as trump pursues, but will help to create a more secure and stable environment in the Taiwan Strait. He said the United States will not try to provoke China by crossing the "red line", which in turn reduces the possibility of Beijing's military attack on Taiwan.
"Trump's" advantage "in Taiwan policy is that he will not risk war with China for Taiwan. However, he is reckless and lacks awareness of the sensitivity of the Taiwan issue, which may lead to unexpected risks. " Xin Qiang believes that Biden is expected to be more cautious and restrained in Taiwan Affairs. Although his efforts to sell arms to Taiwan and support Taiwan will continue, he has a clear understanding of the danger and "red line" of this issue, and the probability of the two countries' "brushing their guns and going off fire" in the Taiwan Strait will be reduced.
Xinqiang predicted that the Biden administration would not go too far beyond the scope of the traditional U.S. policy toward Taiwan, and it was unlikely that the Biden administration would promote "strategic clarity" toward Taiwan during its term of office.