The Recession Events (What will Happen During this Recession)

in Project HOPE4 years ago

This period like every other isn’t different because it is a recession period just like every other recession but the only little difference about this recession is the fact that it was accompanied with a pandemic. Well, all recessions are accompanied with one thing or the other. A lot of things happen during recession and this things often follow the same pattern and it is visible it is going to happen again this year. When recession comes along, the general public become really scared and this affects the market, commodities, companies, and the economy in general, some people lose their jobs, a lot of people struggle to make a living, nobody is splurging on anything, demands for goods and services starts to reduce because the average person do not have the purchasing power.

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What do you think will happen even in this midst of this recession and everything looks like it is falling apart, well I will be putting out a few things that will certainly be happen during this recession, and they are;

Government bailing out the Rich and Businesses

This recession I going to be hitting hard on everyone but every company cannot fold up during this period because if they do, the economy crashes. For big corporations, the government will be coming to the rescue so they do not go bankrupt since they provide jobs for the average individual. As a single person, if you are involved in an accident, you do not get a bailout, if you have a small business with little staffs being employed and you head towards bankruptcy this period, the only thing you might get is a loan at a reduced interest from a bank but not a bailout, but CEOs of corporations that employ a lot of people can be very unreasonable with investment this period trying to risk money into so many other types of businesses because at the end of the day, the government will be willing to give them bailout during the recession because if they close up, the citizens will suffer. If you did not know, a lot of banks got bail out in the 2008 recession and there is a possibility that airlines will be getting bailout after this pandemic because they are losing money on a daily basis as they aren’t working.

Dumping stocks before the market crashes and Buying when the Market crashes

It is no news that the market is really down currently and it is normal to happen in a recession. Before the COViD-19 pandemic became a big issue, a few people had foreseen that it could be disastrous to the market and decided to pull out funds from the market, in fact a lot of people decided to do a simple trading like pump and dump so they make profit. It is said that short sellers made over $50 Billion during the coronavirus sell-off. You might wonder how possible but before the coronavirus case became serious, Billionaire investor Bill Ackman turned $27 million into $2.6 billion by leveraging that the coronavirus will tank the stock market.

As the stock markets already crashed, a lot of people are already buying into the market at the bottom, do not forget that unless this pandemic wipes out the entire universe, the stock market will surely rise again. So during this recession, a lot of people will see it as a stock market black Friday where they can now buy shares at below half the original price.

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Companies will bankrupt and competitors will buy them

There is a difference between a large corporation and a privately owned company, even though large corporations have the backings of the government with bailouts, a lot of other companies will go bankrupt. During this recession, a lot of companies will start keeping money aside waiting for their competitors to go bankrupt or collapse do they can buy the companies for a cheap price.

Real Estate price will Fall

Before the pandemic, a lot of companies already built estates on credit with the intention to sell but it is visible that with the current situation, a lot of people will not have the money predisposed and at that will not be buying houses for a while and soon the banks will come knocking and at that point (let us say in the next 18 months) commercial real estate companies will start selling off property at a discounted amount.

Cheap Labor as People will lose their jobs

We must be factual with ourselves, things will not remain the same after this pandemic and one of the major changes will be people will lose their jobs. I might be difficult to admit but in the next 12 to 18 months, there will be a lot of brown envelopes from employers to employee and there will be a lot of job hunting so companies will start looking for cheap labor. A lot of companies will want to utilize the labor market and get someone that will do the same job or better for a cheaper price.

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Low interest rate from banks

Banks will also not be immune to the recession and at such will need to get their business going and at such will be willing to give out loans at a low interest rate to people with good credit. It is better to have a good credit score during this period as you might need the bank to come to your rescue.

The next few months will be very dramatic as there will be a lot of rise and falls in the economy and from the way I see it, there might soon be a change in world order. Macro economy and geopolitics will lead to a change in world hierarchy and it looks like China is buckling up for this and a recession is always a push to a change in world orders. Do not forget that the USA became a world power after the Second World War so there is a possibility that things might change soon and if this pandemic doesn’t bring the change, then be rest assured that the pandemic isn’t the biggest unrest that would happen, something bigger might come up but this time maybe not a virus but a war.

Question

  • what do you think will happen if the Yen becomes the reserve currency?
  • What other event do you think will take place during this recession?
  • What are your plans for the recession?
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Many things are happening to the world's economy at this period. I just hope they'll be able to recover.
Cos at this period, not only is the world going through major recession but money is almost losing its purchasing power.
Well, I know things will get better soon.

Nice piece buddy

Thanks a lot for the comment, if this recession goes deeper than this, only a few countries are financially capable to handle it. On the side of the citizens, a lot will suffer and depression could lead to so many things including terrorism.

Why should some set of people get bailout while others do not get the same opportunity as well. It is really frustrating that a few set of people are privileged compared to others.

This is because they are creating jobs for a larger number of people. They shape the economy directly or indirectly and if they shut down, they government have to start worrying about a large number of unemployed.

There will surely be job loss and this will surely cause hunger for a very long time.

Hunger has always been existing especially for those in third world countries but i do not know what will become of this lockdown and recession.

 4 years ago 

It is difficult to know what will happen, but I am sure of something that changes worldwide and the expectations will always be for the common good.

The common good is what we have always termed to be good and decide to leave and keep up with it. The world would have a very swift change and this change might not be foe a common good all through.

We are already in something beyond a recession. Under strict lockdown, the economic output is limited to that of consumer staple goods and agricultural industries. The rest of the companies are, as you rightly pointed out, losing money everyday. Think of a recessionary time when revenues go to 0. Unthinkable, so the consequences of this crisis will be unique.

There is no pent up demand as we keep hearing. There are few people who are undergoing depression, some are taking out extra debt to survive. There are many industries that will face a longer lockdown - hospitality, tourism, food. As a consequence of their laid-off employees lowering overall demand, other companies will lower headcount, pushing demand lower. Gig economy employment will also go down and many startups will find VC funding hard to get. I think western world will see a lot of fiscal stimulus and we have just started with free money for individuals and families. Most of that will go in reducing debt I think. Consumption will take a serious hit creating deflation, with lower commodity prices adding fuel to fire. I think conspicuous consumption will not exist for sometime.

I also agree that layoffs will increase and unemployment will be high for a long period. Some of the workforce will get into govt sponsored infrastructure projects but I am not sure if that will be enough to balance the economic loss from other industries.

Inflation is a real threat at a later date. Countless stories of farmers destroying crops, pork prices in the US rising even as hog prices crash, because factories remain shut. With supply chains broken, demand supply imbalance can push prices higher as well at some point.

The bailout of companies is what I have a problem with. Nationalization of companies without management control is a good way for taxpayers to make money at a later stage. However buying corporate debt to ensure companies remain whole is ridiculous and should be criminal.

Yen cannot be a reserve currency, euro can't be. It can be a basket or gold (difficult though as it prevents money printing freedom). The US also provides military protection to countries and has strong influence globally because of which countries agree to petro dollar. There is no economic power like that, not even China.

Long comment!

You know, so many things are going to happen in this recession or like you call it, beyond recession and i can say we might first have a deflation then a high inflation before things normalize and this things will not happen in weeks rather we are talking about months or years. So many companies will close their businesses due to deflation while and then the populace will suffer from an immediate inflation.

It has been a thing of record that world power changes hand every 50-100 years and i think the United state have held that mantle for a very long time. Being a world power comes with a lot of benefit like using the country's currency as a pair standard value for other currency and as the reserve currency and this has made the US print out more money and get into debt with no fear of having its currency losing its value. US in in over $40 trillion debt but since the dollar is a standard for valuation, it isn't visible. If it were to be another country in $40 trillion debt, they would have been a 3rd word country by now. So there need to be properly recalibrate the world reserve and in other for that to happen, the US will have to leave world power and this will crumble the US economy. Trust me, the US isn't willing to give up this title for anything and that is why they have been against China or any other country trying to hold the economy of the world. If the United States will have to forfeit that sit, it might come with a war.

Thanks for the comment.

 4 years ago 

Love to see how responsive you are buddy

Thanks a lot, i would have replied to the othe comments faster but i was admitted to recieve treatment and get my leg bandaged 😃😃😃

 4 years ago 

hope your ankle is getting better. do not walk to much now

 4 years ago (edited)

Indeed long comment @karamyog

We've witnesses few different crashes and recessions within past 100 years. But we didn't witness anything similar to current situation. Ever.

At the same time: financial system is crashing, supply chain is down, manufacturring down, customer confidence is crashing. Unemployment never in past 100 years was as bad as it is now, just weeks since virus start spreading. And on top of all that: we need to handle this virus.

In my humble opinion, current crash will be greately bigger than this one from 2008/2009.

Chers, Piotr

Government bails out some companies for real but little businesses are always left behind. I feel the government only supports what they can benefit from.

That is because they are giving more jobs than the small businesses. The big businesses have a role to play in the economy of a country.

 4 years ago 

Dear @gbenga

Interesting choice of topic. Very HOT and kind of depressing.

This period like every other isn’t different because it is a recession period just like every other recession

I actually do not agree with this statement. We've witnesses few different crashes and recessions within past 100 years. But we didn't witness anything similar to current situation. Ever.

At the same time: financial system is crashing, supply chain is down, manufacturring down, customer confidence is crashing. Unemployment never in past 100 years was as bad as it is now, just weeks since virus start spreading. And on top of all that: we need to handle this virus.

In my humble opinion, current crash will be greately bigger than this one from 2008/2009.

Government bailing out the Rich and Businesses

Goverments are mostly trying to bail out those businesses, which needs it. Those who are hiring many people are priority. However many of those businesses and rich people are abusing current "rescue plans" :/ Quite a shit move, but what to do.

Reality is, that majority of goverments do not seem to know what to do. They are bailing out whoever they can, printing money like there is no tomorrow. Soon we will all have to deal with enormous lose of value by all major FIAT currencies. Wouldn't you agree?

Enjoy your day, upvoted already.
Yours, Piotr

Thanks for reading my friend,

I actually do not agree with this statement. We've witnesses few different crashes and recessions within past 100 years. But we didn't witness anything similar to current situation. Ever.

Okay!! Maybe this is worse as everything is on a standstill compared to other recessions.

The government is going to bailout a lot of companies in so many industries but this bailout might cause a very high inflation rate in the country.

 4 years ago 

but this bailout might cause a very high inflation rate in the country.

Very true. I expect many investors running away with their wealth from FIAT currencies to gold,silver and crypto.

I know a lot will happen during this recession but having the government bail out big companies is just unfair to smaller companies.

Very sound analysis here @Gbenga. I agree with you completely. I think it will also be a fresh start and opportunity for new millionaires to emerge. Cheers!

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